--- title: "隨着收益率達到 19 年來的高點,美聯儲加息的押注激增" type: "News" locale: "zh-HK" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287412040.md" description: "美國 30 年期國債收益率已達到 19 年來的最高水平,投資者因通脹擔憂而拋售債券。市場預期現在顯示,到 2026 年 12 月加息的可能性為 70%,並可能在 2027 年隨着新任美聯儲主席 Kevin Warsh 的上任而進一步增加。消費者信心降至歷史低點,長期通脹預期上升至 3.9%" datetime: "2026-05-23T00:19:18.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287412040.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/287412040.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287412040.md) --- # 隨着收益率達到 19 年來的高點,美聯儲加息的押注激增 Yields hit highs: The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield reached its highest level in 19 years as investors sold off bonds on inflation concerns. Rate hike odds: Markets now see a 70% chance of higher rates by December 2026, with odds climbing further into 2027 under new Fed chair Kevin Warsh. Consumers feel pain: Sentiment fell to record lows in May as long-run inflation expectations rose to 3.9%, reflecting anxiety over persistent price pressures. ### 相關股票 - [BIL.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/BIL.US.md) - [UTHY.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/UTHY.US.md) - [SHV.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/SHV.US.md) - [RINF.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/RINF.US.md) - [GOVT.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/GOVT.US.md) - [IEF.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/IEF.US.md) - [TIP.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/TIP.US.md) - [TLT.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/TLT.US.md) ## 相關資訊與研究 - [國債市場——失業數據意外向好,收益率小幅回落](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287227456.md) - [資管巨頭 PIMCO:近期美債收益率上行並非 AI 驅動 元兇仍是通脹與加息預期](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/288378695.md)