--- title: "世界第二富有的國家在第一季度實現了 6% 的 GDP 增長" type: "News" locale: "zh-HK" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287599263.md" description: "新加坡經濟在 2026 年第一季度增長了 6.0%，超出預期，主要受到批發貿易、製造業和金融部門的推動。然而，官員們警告，由於中東衝突影響全球增長，前景有所減弱。中央銀行維持穩定的貨幣政策，出口增長預測上調至 3.0%-5.0%。通脹預測也有所上調，反映出持續的經濟挑戰" datetime: "2026-05-26T07:57:19.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287599263.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/287599263.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287599263.md) --- # 世界第二富有的國家在第一季度實現了 6% 的 GDP 增長 The annual gross domestic product figure beat an official advance estimate of 4.6%. On a quarter-on-quarter, seasonally adjusted basis, the economy expanded by 1.0% in the January-March period, compared with an advance estimate of a 0.3% contraction. The first quarter growth was mainly driven by wholesale trade, manufacturing and the finance and insurance sectors, supported by strong AI-related demand, the Ministry of Trade ⁠and Industry said. It maintained its economic growth forecast for this year at 2.0% to 4.0%. "Overall, the outlook for the Singapore economy in 2026 has weakened since February," ministry permanent secretary Beh Swan Gin told a press conference. "Downside risks to Singapore's economic outlook have risen significantly and MTI will continue to monitor developments closely and adjust the GDP growth forecast over the course of the year, if necessary." The Middle East conflict has upended global growth and inflation trajectories, throwing interest rate expectations into disarray. As a small trade-dependent hub, Singapore, the world's second-richest country by GDP per capita in 2025 after Switzerland, is especially vulnerable to supply chain disruptions and volatile energy prices. Last month, the central bank tightened monetary policy due to the risk of the Iran war fueling inflation. The central bank had held policy at its previous three quarterly meetings having eased policy last April. Speaking at ‌the same ⁠event on Monday, central bank chief economist Edward Robinson said its current monetary policy stance remains appropriate. "For the Singapore economy, interest rates have been fairly stable, having been down through 2025 and we expect that to continue with the proviso of some stability or some surety to U.S. interest rates going into the second half of this year," Robinson said. Instead of using interest rates, Singapore manages monetary policy by letting the local dollar rise or fall against ⁠currencies of its main trading partners within an undisclosed trading band. Official data released on Monday showed Singapore's non-oil domestic exports expanded 9.6% in Q1 2026, led by the electronics segment with growth of 57.8%. Enterprise Singapore raised its export growth forecast to 3.0% to 5.0%, up from ⁠2.0% to 4.0%, on what it said was resilient AI-related demand. Risks to Singapore from U.S. trade tariffs also remain, however, with the city-state among countries subject to the Trump administration's section 301 investigations. The trade ministry's Beh said Singaporean officials had returned recently from U.S. talks and do ⁠not expect any "positive surprises". Inflation data for April will be released later on Monday. In March, core inflation rose 1.7% from a year earlier, and economists expect a similar reading for April. The central bank in April raised both its core and headline inflation forecasts for 2026 to a range of 1.5% to 2.5%, from 1.0% to 2.0% previously. ### 相關股票 - [EWS.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/EWS.US.md) - [ES3.SG](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/ES3.SG.md) ## 相關資訊與研究 - [新加坡第一季 GDP 增長上修至 6.0%；2026 年展望維持不變](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287483295.md) - [新加坡首季經濟按年增長 6%](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/287480116.md) - [中東局勢緊張影響市場，企業業績回暖與貨幣政策成焦點](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/289058713.md) - [商研院最新服務業景氣分析 批發零售一枝獨秀、其餘衰退](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/288804817.md) - [【日本經濟】首季 GDP 向下修訂至升 1.8% 仍超預期](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/289005354.md)