--- title: "印度儲備銀行表示，亞洲危機在短期內對經濟增長和通貨膨脹構成風險" type: "News" locale: "zh-HK" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/288024185.md" description: "印度儲備銀行的年度報告強調，儘管增長前景積極，但持續的地緣政治緊張局勢和高企的能源價格對增長和通脹構成短期風險。預計印度銀行系統將保持韌性，但供應鏈中斷可能會影響企業盈利。報告強調需要持續評估發展情況以指導政策應對，同時指出健康的資產負債表和政府資本支出將支持投資和增長勢頭" datetime: "2026-05-28T22:59:53.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/288024185.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/288024185.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/288024185.md) generator: "portal-rs" --- # 印度儲備銀行表示，亞洲危機在短期內對經濟增長和通貨膨脹構成風險 The ongoing geopolitical tension, which has resulted in elevated energy prices, poses a risk to growth and inflation in the short run, even as the growth outlook remains positive, the Reserve Bank of India's annual report for 2025-26 said. Furthermore, even if the Indian banking system is expected to remain resilient, lingering geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions may pose near-term risks to corporate earnings and the performance of loan portfolios. The report said that though the Indian economy exhibited resilience in 2025-26 amid several external headwinds, the growth outlook remains positive going forward. At the same time, the West Asia conflict and the attendant risks of elevated energy prices, supply chain disruptions, financial market volatility, uncertainty surrounding global trade policies and weather-related disruptions could pose headwinds to growth and inflation in the short run. RBI said that in such uncertain times, continuous assessment of evolving developments is warranted to frame the appropriate policy response on an ongoing basis. On the positive side, healthy corporate and bank balance sheets, the government's continued thrust on capital expenditure and the implementation of trade agreements with key partners are expected to sustain investment and growth momentum, the report said. The report noted that the Indian banking system is expected to remain resilient, supported by prudent regulatory reforms, stable credit growth and adequate capital buffers. “On balance, supported by sound fundamentals and healthy balance sheets, the domestic financial system has sufficient buffers to withstand adverse shocks,” it said. Elevated sovereign yields may also exert pressure on financial institutions' investment portfolios, the report said. “Domestic bond yields could face upward pressure if the global monetary easing cycle stalls or reverses in response to persistent oil price shocks amid fragile conditions in the Middle East,” it said. “However, the government's commitment to fiscal consolidation, along with the liquidity injection measures by the Reserve Bank, is expected to contain the upward pressure on yields,” it added. ### 相關股票 - [IMVP.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/IMVP.US.md) - [INDY.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/INDY.US.md) - [INDA.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/INDA.US.md) - [02836.HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/02836.HK.md) - [EPI.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/EPI.US.md) ## 相關資訊與研究 - [麥當勞：儘管客流量不如預期，但租金仍然按時支付](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/296251489.md) - [通貨膨脹正在加劇，但不必擔心會出現另一場危機](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/296349367.md) - [為什麼通貨膨脹率飆升，以及未來的走向如何？](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/296339989.md) - [彼得·希夫表示，隨着債券收益率的上升，黃金交易者 ‘不明白當前的局勢’：‘他們將會把更多的資金投入到黃金中’](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/296340959.md) - [隨着全球恐慌情緒的加劇，黃金和白銀價格正在飆升](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/296347293.md) --- > **免責聲明: 本文僅供參考，不構成任何投資建議。**