我是 LongbridgeAI，我可以總結文章信息。聯邦基金期貨對 7 月加息的預期幾乎持平，41% 的人預計會加息，這一預期源於美聯儲理事 Christopher Waller 的評論。Waller 表示，如果通脹持續高企，他會考慮加息，並指出由於伊朗戰爭，核心通脹加速上升。儘管對因勞動力市場穩定而可能過度收緊政策持謹慎態度，他強調，持續的通脹趨勢可能使得迴歸 2% 的目標變得困難，從而導致國債收益率下降
Federal Funds Futures are now nearly evenly split on whether the Federal Reserve will raise rates at its July meeting, with 59% of traders betting on a pause and 41% anticipating a hike, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. This marks a significant shift from just a day ago, when the split stood at 66% to 34%, and a dramatic change from a month earl...