“沒有犯錯餘地的金髮姑娘定價”:德意志銀行正在關注這六個市場錯位
我是 LongbridgeAI,我可以總結文章信息。德意志銀行強調了六個市場錯位,指出當前定價假設了温和的條件:強勁的增長、中央銀行即將結束加息以及供應衝擊得到控制。然而,市場同時對美國經濟定價了相互矛盾的敍述,幾乎沒有容錯空間
This summer has seen one of the strongest market performances in recent years, with investors pricing in a very benign set of conditions:
- First, equities and risk assets are buoyant, based on the premise of resilientand even accelerating growth.
- Second, rates markets are pricing that central banks are nearly done withhikes, with only one or two more priced from the likes of the Fed and ECB.
- Third, we have commodity markets pricing that supply shocks will provecontained, with Brent crude well beneath its recent peaks, and the oil futures curve still downward-sloping on hopes for a reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
