Bros, $Tesla(TSLA.US) is still falling so much today! I get trapped every time I enter. Coming to pick people up (sarcastic). Try a short position, dump!
" type: "Topics" locale: "zh-HK" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/39597046.md" description: "🔥Looking at the same list, what I see is not consensus, but "consensus within divergence": Where is the real main theme for chips in 2026? On the surface, this appears to be a "semiconductor recommendation list" from major Wall Street banks. But what I care more about is the structural signal hidden behind it. Because when JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Goldman Sachs all release their lists simultaneously, the focus is never just on "what to buy," but rather—which companies are repeatedly mentioned by everyone..." datetime: "2026-03-28T09:25:56.000Z" locales: - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39597046.md) - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/39597046.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/39597046.md) author: "[辰逸](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/profiles/16318663.md)" --- > 支持的語言: [English](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39597046.md) | [简体中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/39597046.md) #Bros, $Tesla(TSLA.US) is still falling so much today! I get trapped every time I enter. Coming to pick people up (sarcastic). Try a short position, dump!
🔥Looking at the same list, what I see is not consensus, but "consensus within divergence": where is the true main theme for 2026 chips? On the surface, this is a "semiconductor recommendation list" provided by major Wall Street banks. But what I care more about is the structural signal hidden behind it. Because when JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Citigroup, and Goldman Sachs all give their lists at the same time, the focus is never just "what to buy," but rather—which companies are repeatedly mentioned by everyone, and which directions are collectively ignored. First, look at the most obvious thing: $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) appears in almost every major bank's "top pick" or core list. This is not a recommendation; this is "consensus has become extremely concentrated." The same goes for $Broadcom(AVGO.US). These two tickers essentially represent two things: One is the "demand entry point" for AI computing power ($NVIDIA(NVDA.US)) The other is the "connection and expansion" of AI infrastructure ($Broadcom(AVGO.US)) When all major banks are betting on the same direction, I would think one step further— Has this already become a "crowded trade"? What's more interesting next is the second layer. Equipment stocks and EDA are repeatedly mentioned, but their positions are clearly lower. $ASML(ASML.US) $Applied Materials(AMAT.US) $Lam Research(LRCX.US) $KLA(KLAC.US) $Synopsys(SNPS.US) $Cadence Design(CDNS.US) These companies are not absent, but they are rarely placed in the "front row." This indicates one thing: The market has already defaulted—AI demand certainty \> capacity expansion logic In other words, this is not the stage of "building more factories," but rather "first fully utilizing computing power." The third layer is the signal I find most critical but many people overlook: There is actually a significant divergence among different major banks regarding "who will capture the second wave of benefits." Some are betting on: $Micron Tech(MU.US) (memory cycle) $Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US) (foundry core) $Analog Devices(ADI.US) (analog chips) $NXP Semiconductors(NXPI.US) (automotive + industrial) Others are starting to include some more peripheral but flexible tickers: $Astera Labs(ALAB.US) (high-speed interconnect) $Credo Tech(CRDO.US) (data transmission) $Macom Tech(MTSI.US) (RF) $Advanced Energy(AEIS.US) (power systems) What does this represent? It represents that within Wall Street, they are actually already positioning ahead of time for one question: If AI moves from the "training phase" to "scale application," which companies will become the true bearers of the next round of demand? So this chart is not the answer, but a three-layer structure: First layer (certainty): $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) $Broadcom(AVGO.US) — already the consensus core Second layer (infrastructure): Equipment + EDA — definitely exist, but the pace lags Third layer (divergence zone): Memory, analog, connectivity, small-cap high flexibility — the biggest variable for the future I won't simply accept this list as is. I prefer to treat it as a "capital distribution map." Because real opportunities often lie not where the consensus is strongest, but in: Areas that have already begun to be positioned by a few institutions, but have not yet formed a unified judgment In the coming year, the key for semiconductors is no longer "whether there is AI," but "who can continue to capture demand beyond AI." If AI enters the next stage—inference, edge computing, and industry applications fully unfold— then the "second tier" in this list might be where the biggest changes occur. Which one are you more inclined towards? Continue betting on the already formed consensus of $NVIDIA(NVDA.US), $Broadcom(AVGO.US), or start positioning ahead of time in those second-tier stocks still in divergence? ### 相關股票 - [Synopsys (SNPS.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/SNPS.US.md) - [KLA (KLAC.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/KLAC.US.md) - [NVIDIA (NVDA.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/NVDA.US.md) - [Seagate Tech (STX.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/STX.US.md) - [Qnity Electronics (Q.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/Q.US.md) - [NXP Semiconductors (NXPI.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/NXPI.US.md) - [Advanced Energy (AEIS.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/AEIS.US.md) - [Western Digital (WDC.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/WDC.US.md) - [Teradyne (TER.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/TER.US.md) - [AMD (AMD.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/AMD.US.md) - [Marvell Tech (MRVL.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/MRVL.US.md) - [GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF (NVDL.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/NVDL.US.md) - [XL2CSOPNVDA (07788.HK)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/07788.HK.md) - [XI2CSOPNVDA (07388.HK)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/07388.HK.md) - [YieldMax NVDA Option Income Strategy ETF (NVDY.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/NVDY.US.md) - [Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X ETF (NVDD.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/NVDD.US.md) - [T-Rex 2X Long NVIDIA Daily Target ETF (NVDX.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/NVDX.US.md) - [T-Rex 2X Inverse NVIDIA Daily Target ETF (NVDQ.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/NVDQ.US.md) - [GraniteShares 2x Long AMD Daily ETF (AMDL.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/AMDL.US.md) - [Applied Materials (AMAT.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/AMAT.US.md) - [Broadcom (AVGO.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/AVGO.US.md) - [Cadence Design (CDNS.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/CDNS.US.md) - [Micron Tech (MU.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/MU.US.md) - [Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/TSM.US.md) - [Macom Tech (MTSI.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/MTSI.US.md) - [ASML (ASML.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/ASML.US.md) - [Lam Research (LRCX.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/LRCX.US.md) - [Credo Tech (CRDO.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/CRDO.US.md) - [Analog Devices (ADI.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/ADI.US.md) - [Astera Labs (ALAB.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/ALAB.US.md)