--- type: "Topics" locale: "zh-HK" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/39601081.md" description: "🚀Sequoia partner bluntly states: Elon Musk's "lunar electromagnetic cannon" isn't that difficult; the key isn't technology but cost.Many people's first reaction is: this sounds too sci-fi.But what's truly worth pondering isn't "can it be built," but rather—are the conditions approaching feasibility?Sequoia partner Shaun Maguire's core point is straightforward:If two things hold true, the difficulty of this endeavor would drop significantly—Low-cost, large-scale launch capability + sufficient and cheap labor.This essentially shifts the problem from "technological breakthrough" to "systemic conditions."First, is launch cost.If Starship can drive unit costs low enough and achieve high-frequency launches, then sending equipment to the moon is no longer a one-off, extremely expensive project, but becomes a process that can be scaled up.Once transportation shifts from a "bottleneck" to a "routine capability," many previously unfeasible projects suddenly become viable.Second, is the labor issue.If robots like Optimus can provide stable, low-cost operational capabilities, then construction in extreme environments (like the moon) no longer relies entirely on humans.This means:Construction costs, risks, and complexity will be repriced.When these two variables change simultaneously, the question shifts from:"Can we build this kind of thing on the moon?"to:"Has the cost dropped low enough to make it worthwhile?"The logic behind this is actually very familiar.Historically, many projects that "seemed impossible" weren't due to sudden technological breakthroughs, but because the cost curve changed.When costs fall below a certain threshold, things that were once uneconomical begin to be attempted on a large scale.So the key isn't the electromagnetic cannon itself, but rather:Whether launch costs continue to decline,and whether automated labor is truly viable.If these two points hold true, then many projects that still seem "sci-fi" today will gradually become reality.Then the question becomes:Are you more skeptical of Starship's scaling capability, or Optimus's deployment speed?" datetime: "2026-03-29T14:07:48.000Z" locales: - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39601081.md) - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/39601081.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/39601081.md) author: "[辰逸](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/profiles/16318663.md)" --- > 支持的語言: [English](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39601081.md) | [简体中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/39601081.md) # 🚀Sequoia partner bluntly states: Elon Musk's "… ### 相關股票 - [Optec International, Inc. (OPTI.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/OPTI.US.md) - [Tesla (TSLA.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/TSLA.US.md) - [SIASUN (300024.CN)](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/quote/300024.CN.md)