---
title: "奪島戰？"
type: "Topics"
locale: "zh-HK"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/39692739.md"
description: "《華爾街日報》週二晚間報道，阿拉伯聯合酋長國正推動美國強行重新開放霍爾木茲海峽，並願意協助此類軍事行動。該報道..."
datetime: "2026-04-02T06:26:03.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/39692739.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/39692739.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/39692739.md)
author: "[奇迹的交易员cola](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/profiles/10743314.md)"
---

# 奪島戰？

The United Arab Emirates is pushing for the US to forcefully reopen the Strait of Hormuz and is willing to assist in such a military operation, [The Wall Street Journal](https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/uae-iran-war-strait-of-hormuz-9836ecbb?mod=WSJ_home_mediumtopper_pos_1) reported Tuesday night.

The report said the Gulf state is also seeking a UN Security Council Resolution that would green-light such an operation, as it faces continued Iranian attacks.

Iran’s oil exports have surged despite the war, with over 90% of shipments flowing to China through covert logistics and shadow banking networks. This has doubled Tehran’s daily oil revenues compared to pre-conflict levels, even as other Gulf states face collapsing exports.

📊 Key Developments

-   Export Volumes: Iran currently exports 2.4–2.8 million barrels/day, including 1.5–1.8 million barrels of crude oil—higher than last year’s average.
-   Revenue Growth: Daily oil income has nearly doubled since late February 2026, despite ongoing airstrikes.
-   China’s Role: Over 90% of Iranian oil is shipped to China, mainly to Shandong’s independent refineries, using disguised tankers and offshore transfers near Malaysia.
-   Shadow Banking: Payments are routed via trust accounts in China and Hong Kong, often through shell companies and small banks, making flows hard to trace.

⚙️ How Iran’s Oil System Works

Chain

Mechanism

Impact

Sales

Oil allocated to ministries, police, religious funds; ~20 elites tied to IRGC control sales.

Decentralization makes U.S. strikes ineffective.

Transport

IRGC controls Hormuz Strait logistics; tankers use fake documents & GPS spoofing.

Ensures continuity of shipments despite blockade.

Finance

Shadow banking via Chinese/HK accounts; funds laundered through shells & exchange houses.

Keeps war financing hidden and sanctions evasion possible.

🌍 Geopolitical Implications

-   China’s Leverage: Gains discounted oil but risks U.S. sanctions pressure.
-   Iran’s Advantage: War damage offset by energy windfall, strengthening IRGC’s funding base.
-   Global Energy Shock: Other Gulf exporters face revenue collapse, while Iran thrives—creating asymmetric resilience.

⚠️ Risks & Side Effects

-   Fragmented Control: Even Iran’s central bank struggles to track flows, enabling corruption among oil oligarchs.
-   Sanctions Exposure: U.S. Treasury has already sanctioned dozens of entities tied to Iran’s shadow banking.
-   Market Volatility: Continued reliance on covert Chinese demand could destabilize global energy markets if exposed.

Would you like me to break down China’s strategic gains from this arrangement (cheap energy, geopolitical leverage, sanctions evasion), or focus more on Iran’s internal power dynamics (IRGC dominance, oligarchic profits)

## 評論 (8)

- **今夜很黑 · 2026-04-02T09:10:21.000Z · 👍 1**: 伊朗也是，你不打我逼着你來打
- **赚美金买sf90！ · 2026-04-02T08:19:34.000Z · 👍 1**: cola 哥 lbrt 又可以低吸咯 開心🥳
- **遇。 · 2026-04-02T06:38:10.000Z**: 拿了這麼多便宜油，可是我加油還是多支付 100，😭
  - **奇迹的交易员cola** (2026-04-02T06:43:06.000Z): 往好處想，如果你投了大 A 或者大 H 的石油股票，你的分紅可能會增加。
  - **遇。** (2026-04-02T06:44:16.000Z): 你是會安慰人的！😆
- **超可爱的大泡泡 · 2026-04-02T06:31:20.000Z · 👍 2**: 朗子也要越打越富嗎😂😂
  - **奇迹的交易员cola** (2026-04-02T06:33:31.000Z): 不過，實際上俄羅斯那邊的感受就是越來越窮，我們跟一些貨商有合作，俄羅斯那邊的消費力越來越弱了。
  - **Owhathappen** (2026-04-02T11:22:34.000Z): 只有寡頭富起來了吧。