What is Technical Analysis?

2182 reads · Last updated: December 5, 2024

Technical analysis is a trading discipline employed to evaluate investments and identify trading opportunities by analyzing statistical trends gathered from trading activity, such as price movement and volume. Unlike fundamental analysis, which attempts to evaluate a security's value based on business results such as sales and earnings, technical analysis focuses on the study of price and volume.

Definition

Technical analysis is a trading discipline used to evaluate investments and identify trading opportunities by analyzing statistical trends gathered from trading activity, such as price movement and volume. Unlike fundamental analysis, which attempts to assess a security's value based on business results like sales and earnings, technical analysis focuses on the study of price and volume.

Origin

The origin of technical analysis can be traced back to the late 19th century when Charles Dow introduced the Dow Theory, which is one of the foundations of technical analysis. Over time, technical analysis evolved, especially in the 1970s, when advances in computer technology made complex charting and indicator analysis possible.

Categories and Features

Technical analysis is mainly divided into chart analysis and indicator analysis. Chart analysis includes trend lines, support, and resistance levels, while indicator analysis includes moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), etc. Chart analysis is characterized by its visual nature, suitable for identifying market trends and patterns; indicator analysis provides more precise buy and sell signals through mathematical calculations.

Case Studies

A typical case is Apple Inc.'s stock. In 2019, technical analysts predicted a continued rise in its stock price by observing its price breaking through key resistance levels, which proved to be accurate. Another case is Tesla, Inc., where in early 2020, technical analysts successfully predicted an upward trend in its stock price using moving average crossover signals.

Common Issues

Common issues investors face when using technical analysis include over-reliance on historical data and ignoring fundamental factors. Additionally, technical analysis does not guarantee success, as market randomness and unpredictability still exist. Investors should combine both fundamental and technical analysis to gain a more comprehensive market insight.

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