After the recent record highs in the US stock market, Deutsche Bank has poured cold water on the market.
In a recent research report, Deutsche Bank pointed out that the S&amp;P 500, after continuous rise recently, needs to &#34;take a breather&#34; again.
Deutsche Bank's strategists had previously suggested on April 5th that the upward trend in the US stock market might pause, and the S&amp;P 500 index dropped by 4.6% in the two weeks following their warning.
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This time, Deutsche Bank strategists, including Parag Thatte, explained the three main reasons for a possible pullback in the US stock market: a sharp increase in stock positions, massive inflows of stock funds, and a blackout period for buybacks before the second-quarter earnings reports.
According to Deutsche Bank's data, both active and passive funds' stock positions have reached the top 5% range of historical data in the past 10 years, and stock funds have seen nine consecutive weeks of inflows, pushing risk appetite to the &#34;limit.&#34;
Finally, Deutsche Bank's strategists estimate that starting from the end of next week, companies accounting for nearly half of the market value of the S&amp;P 500 index will enter a blackout period for buybacks, which will temporarily prevent companies from repurchasing stocks to support stock prices

.SPX

After the recent record highs in the US stock market, Deutsche Bank has poured cold water on the market: S&P 500 needs to "take a breather" after its recent continuous rise. Last time in April, Deutsche Bank said that the US stock market needed to "take a break", and the S&P 500 subsequently fell by 4.6% in the following two weeks

The main points conveyed by the author are:
1. Descriptive factual information:
   - Deutsche Bank issued a recent research report cautioning the market after the continuous record highs in the US stock market.
   - The report suggests that the S&P 500, after its recent surge, needs to "take a breather."
   - Deutsche Bank strategists had previously predicted a pause in the US stock market on April 5, and the S&P 500 index dropped by 4.6% within two weeks of their warning.
   - The three main reasons cited by Deutsche Bank strategists for a potential pullback in the US stock market are the sharp increase in stock positions, massive inflows of stock funds, and the buyback blackout period before the second-quarter earnings reports.
2. Viewpoints and supporting logic:
   - Deutsche Bank's data shows that both active and passive funds' stock positions are in the top 5% range of historical data over the past 10 years, indicating an extreme level of risk appetite.
   - Continuous inflows into stock funds for nine weeks have further heightened risk preferences to the "limit."
   - The strategists estimate that starting from the following week, companies representing nearly half of the market value of the S&P 500 will enter a buyback blackout period, temporarily halting stock repurchases that support stock prices in the short term.

Deutsche Bank is at it again in April: it's time for the S&P 500 Index's upward momentum to take a break