
The US bond market faces a test of inflation data, with traders betting that the upward trend will continue

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The US bond market faces a test of inflation data, with traders betting on a significant rise in the bond market. Recent market turmoil has triggered risk aversion, fearing that a softening economy may force the Fed to cut interest rates. A survey by Morgan Stanley shows that client net long positions have reached recent highs. The US July CPI data is expected to support the bond market. The market has priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in September, with some betting on a 50 basis point cut. Options skewness indicates that traders expect a possible rebound in the bond market
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