Goldman Sachs delivers a "reassuring pill": The risk of a US economic recession is very low, and it is unlikely that the US stock market will fall into a bear market

Zhitong
2024.09.10 11:06
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Goldman Sachs strategists believe that the risk of a US economic recession is low, so it is unlikely that US stocks will plummet by 20% or more. Although there may be a decline by the end of the year due to rising valuations and policy uncertainties, the likelihood of entering a bear market is small. Historical data analysis from Goldman Sachs shows that since the 1990s, instances of the S&P 500 Index falling by more than 20% have become rare. The strategy team remains tactically neutral and expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by over 100 basis points by the end of 2024