
The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 52.3%

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According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate until December is 47.7%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 52.3%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate until January next year is 35.5%, while the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 51.1%, and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 13.4%
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