
CICC: Is gold really expensive?

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CICC updates its gold pricing model, analyzing the relationship between gold and U.S. Treasury yields. Despite high U.S. Treasury yields, gold prices have risen against the trend, with returns exceeding 30%. The model indicates that gold is not overvalued and expects a significant increase in gold prices in 2024. The updated model extends from 1971 to 2024, excluding U.S. Treasury yields, and emphasizes the impact of central bank gold purchases and U.S. debt expansion on gold prices
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