Amidst increasing losses, Investors bid up Metis Energy (SGX:L02) 13% this past week
Metis Energy Limited (SGX:L02) shares rose 13% this past week, contributing to a 17% increase over the last three months. However, the company has faced a 23% decline in share price over the past three years, with revenue shrinking by 21% annually. Analysts are cautious as the company is not currently profitable, raising concerns about its ability to fund itself to profitability. Despite a total shareholder return of 13% over the last year, it still lags behind market returns. Investors should be aware of five warning signs regarding the company's performance.
While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Metis Energy Limited (SGX:L02) share price has gained 17% in the last three months. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been less than pleasing. Truth be told the share price declined 23% in three years and that return, Dear Reader, falls short of what you could have got from passive investing with an index fund.
The recent uptick of 13% could be a positive sign of things to come, so let's take a look at historical fundamentals.
Check out our latest analysis for Metis Energy
Metis Energy isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.
In the last three years Metis Energy saw its revenue shrink by 21% per year. That's definitely a weaker result than most pre-profit companies report. On the face of it we'd posit the share price fall of 7% compound, over three years is well justified by the fundamental deterioration. The key question now is whether the company has the capacity to fund itself to profitability, without more cash. Of course, it is possible for businesses to bounce back from a revenue drop - but we'd want to see that before getting interested.
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
If you are thinking of buying or selling Metis Energy stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.
A Different Perspective
Metis Energy provided a TSR of 13% over the last twelve months. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 3% per year over five year. This suggests the company might be improving over time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Metis Energy you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Singaporean exchanges.
