<div id="readability-page-1"><p>The tariff-driven market volatility has been rough on shares of Chinese electric vehicle (EV) maker Nio Inc. (NYSE: NIO), which in April fell to a multiyear low of $3.02. They have rebounded and are up 11.6% since then. Though Nio reported a sharp increase in deliveries in the first quarter, its fourth-quarter report fell short of expectations on both the top and bottom lines and included a disappointing outlook for the year. This was the first report since the launch of its new mass-market brands, Onvo and Firefly.</p> <div id="keypoints">                              <ul>                                     <li>                         <p>Nio is the third-largest electric vehicle company in China and the first to pioneer swappable battery packs.</p>                     </li>                     <li>                         <p>Due to new product launches and growing market share, 24/7 Wall St. projects significant gains for the stock by the end of the decade.</p>                     </li>                     <li>                         <p>If you’re looking for a megatrend with massive potential, make sure to grab a complimentary copy of our “The Next NVIDIA” report. It includes a complete industry map of AI investments, including many small caps.</p>                     </li>             </ul>         </div>  <p>The stock is now trading 14.0% lower than at the beginning of the year. Compared to a year ago, Nio’s share price is down 28.0%. Analyst sentiment has slipped this year too, with about half of 27 of them now recommending buying shares. Their mean price target is down to $4.87, but that suggests they see about 30% upside in the next 12 months. Note that the high price target is up at $8.18. Mizuho just reiterated its Neutral rating on the shares, it has a $3.50 price target. Barclays maintained its Underweight rating with a $3.00 target.</p>  <p>There are some encouraging tailwinds for shareholders, though. The Chinese carmaker’s high-performance models, which feature a +600-mile range, have caught the eye of vehicle enthusiasts and investors, while addressing range anxiety issues by creating battery swap technology as a supplement to charging. Nio is among the largest vehicle manufacturers in the world and is the third largest in China.</p> <p>From a stock performance standpoint, Nio has been a tale of two stories. When shares debuted on the New York Stock Exchange on Sept. 12, 2018, at $9.90, they struggled to build that momentum. Not until the summer of 2020 did the stock began to surge, gaining over 810% from June 26, 2020, to Feb. 9, 2021, when the stock hit its all-time high of $62.84. Shares have fallen considerably since, but the long-term outlook remains strong.</p> <p>24/7 Wall St. aims to provide readers with our assumptions about the stock’s prospects going forward, what growth we see in Nio stock for the next several years, and what our best estimates are for Nio’s stock price each year through 2030.</p> <h2>Nio Stock Early-Stage Growth</h2> <p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://247wallst.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/GettyImages-1228766492-scaled.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" width="2560" height="1707" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://247wallst.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/GettyImages-1228766492-scaled.jpg"/></p> <p>The following is a table of Nio’s revenues, operating income, and share price for its first few years as a public company.</p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><strong>Year</strong></td> <td><b>Share Price<br/> (End of Year) </b></td> <td><b>Revenues (CNY)*</b></td> <td><b>Operating Income*</b></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2018</td> <td>$5.39</td> <td>4,951.2</td> <td>(9,595.6)</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2019</td> <td>$3.45</td> <td>7,824.9</td> <td>(11,079.2)</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2020</td> <td>$40.00</td> <td>16,257.9</td> <td>(4,607.6)</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2021</td> <td>$16.70</td> <td>36,136.4</td> <td>(4,496.3)</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2022</td> <td>$7.87</td> <td>49,268.6</td> <td>(15,640.7)</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2023</td> <td>$4.71</td> <td>55,617.9</td> <td>(22,655.2)</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <p><span>*Revenue and operating income in Billion CNY (1CNY=.14 USD)</span></p> <p>Now let’s take a look at Rivian Automotive Inc. (NASDAQ: RIVN) in the first few years it was a publicly traded company (here is Rivian’s stock price forecast):</p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><strong>Year</strong></td> <td><b>Share Price<br/> (End of Year) </b></td> <td><b>Revenues </b></td> <td><b>Operating Income</b></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2021</td> <td>$50.24</td> <td>$5.67</td> <td>($0.71)</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2022</td> <td>$19.30</td> <td>$7.14</td> <td>($2.27)</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2023</td> <td>$10.70</td> <td>$7.83</td> <td>($3.19)</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2024</td> <td>$4.36</td> <td>$9.00</td> <td>($2.99)</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <p><span>Revenues and operating income in billions<br/> </span></p> <p>The revenue growth for both firms is similar, but Rivian’s operating loss is more than double the yearly operating loss of Nio.</p> <p>Nio formerly contracted its manufacturing to Jianghuai Automobile Group, paying a fee for each vehicle produced in addition to fixed cost. The company has since acquired the factory from JAC. This agreement is beneficial for a young start-up in a very capital-intensive market. However, when scale is reached, the variable cost model has its downsides.</p> <h2>Three Key Drivers of Nio’s Performance</h2> <p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://247wallst.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/GettyImages-1493214426-scaled.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" width="2560" height="1707" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://247wallst.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/GettyImages-1493214426-scaled.jpg"/></p> <p><strong>Product Portfolio Expansion and Growing Market Share</strong></p> <ul> <li><strong>New Model Launches:</strong> Similar to Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA), Nio started off with a higher-end roadster and used the higher-end models to re-invest into more affordable, mass-market vehicles. Nio aims to push further into price-conscious markets while also adding options for its more premium customers.</li> <li><strong>Add-On Services: </strong>With Nio’s battery swap technology, the company plans to roll out an innovative battery-as-a-service solution for its customer base. The company plans on building over 4,000 swap stations by the end of 2025, with 1,000 of them being located outside of China.</li> </ul> <p><strong>Increased Vehicle Deliveries and Market Penetration</strong></p> <ul> <li><strong>Growing NEV Adoption:</strong> The market for new energy vehicles (NEVs) is on the rise in China. Nio expects vehicle deliveries in 2025 to double the output from 2023 (roughly 165,000 units). This still only makes up about 2% of the Chinese NEV market and gives Nio plenty of roadway to gain market share for years to come.</li> <li><strong>International Expansion:</strong> Nio’s strategy includes expanding its market presence outside China. The company built its first overseas battery-swap station in Hungary in 2022 and has several service centers and Nio accessory businesses throughout Europe.</li> <li>In December 2024, the company delivered 31,138 vehicles, good for a 72.9% year-over-year increase. In total, 221,970 vehicles were delivered in 2024, which was a year-over-year increase of 38.7% compared to 2023. Cumulative deliveries reached 671,564 as of Dec. 31, 2024.</li> </ul> <p><strong>Advancements in Technology and Customer Experience</strong></p> <ul> <li><strong>Battery and Charging Solutions:</strong> Nio’s advancements in battery technology and charging solutions aim to alleviate range anxiety among consumers and help lower the overall cost of the vehicle by 15% to 30%.</li> <li><strong>Focus on Younger Consumers:</strong> Nio’s leadership in EV technology will provide brand equity to younger generations of drivers who value enhanced technology packages.</li> </ul> <h2>How Nio’s Next Five Years Could Play Out</h2> <h2><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://247wallst.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/imageforentry1-enb.jpg?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" width="1366" height="768" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://247wallst.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/imageforentry1-enb.jpg"/></h2> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><strong>Year</strong></td> <td><strong>Revenue*</strong></td> <td><strong>Shares Outstanding</strong></td> <td><strong>P/S Est.</strong></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2025</td> <td>97,052</td> <td>2,050 mm</td> <td>1x</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2026</td> <td>114,172</td> <td>2,050 mm</td> <td>1x</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2027</td> <td>134,643</td> <td>2,050 mm</td> <td>1.5x</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2028</td> <td>257,634</td> <td>2,050 mm</td> <td>1.5x</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2029</td> <td>176,533</td> <td>2,050 mm</td> <td>1.5x</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2030</td> <td>189,548</td> <td>2,050 mm</td> <td>2x</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <p><span>*Revenue in CYN millions</span></p> <p>Compared to Rivian and Tesla, Nio’s price-to-sales valuation will be moderately discounted. While Nio is in solid financial standing and has a premium brand image, it remains uncertain how much competition the company will face both in China and as it expands overseas. The company is already spending a quarter of revenues on R&amp;D and if Nio cannot capitalize on this spend, the stock price will be sluggish compared to North American EV manufacturers.</p> <p>As mentioned, Wall Street analysts give Nio a one-year price target of $4.87. That represents 29.9% upside potential from the current share price. Here at 24/7 Wall St., we expect to see revenue growth of 60% for the year, with a price-to-sales multiple of 1x, which puts our year-end price target at $6.63. That would be a gain of 76.8% from today’s share price.</p> <p>For 2030, we estimate Nio’s stock price to be $25.89 per share. Our estimated share price would be 590.4% higher than the current one.</p> <p>Here is a look at our projections for the years in between:</p> <table> <tbody> <tr> <td><strong>Year</strong></td> <td><strong>Price Target</strong></td> <td><strong>Upside</strong></td> </tr> <tr> <td>2025</td> <td>$6.63</td> <td>76.8%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2026</td> <td>$7.80</td> <td>108.0%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2027</td> <td>$13.80</td> <td>268.0%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2028</td> <td>$26.39</td> <td>603.8%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2029</td> <td>$18.08</td> <td>382.1%</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2030</td> <td>$25.89</td> <td>590.4%</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> <p>Prediction: 1 Electric Vehicle Stock Poised to Overtake Tesla by 2030</p>   <p>The post Nio (NYSE: NIO) Stock Price Prediction and Forecast 2025-2030 (June 5) appeared first on 24/7 Wall St..</p></div>

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<p>Nio Inc. (NYSE: NIO) has faced market volatility, with shares dropping to a low of $3.02 in April but rebounding 11.6% since. Despite a strong increase in deliveries, its fourth-quarter report disappointed, leading to a mean price target of $4.87 from analysts, suggesting a 30% upside. Nio's innovative battery swap technology and high-performance models are seen as growth drivers. The long-term outlook remains positive, with projections for significant stock gains by 2030, despite current challenges and a 28% year-over-year decline in share price.</p>

- Nio Inc. has experienced significant stock volatility, with shares recently rebounding 11.6% from a multiyear low of $3.02, despite a disappointing fourth-quarter report.  
- The company, which is the third-largest EV maker in China, is projected to see substantial growth due to new product launches and an expanding market share, with analysts estimating a one-year price target of $4.87, indicating a potential 30% upside.  
- Nio's long-term outlook remains positive, with projections suggesting a stock price of $25.89 by 2030, reflecting a potential increase of 590.4% from current levels.  