<div id="readability-page-1"><div><div>Despite forecasting a grim future for Big Tech in mid-2020, venture capitalist Chamath Palihapitiya's short thesis on Meta Platforms Inc. META and Alphabet Inc. GOOG GOOGL has not materialized, as both stocks have posted massive gains over the past five years.What Happened: In July 2020, Palihapitiya posted on X a multi-part argument against the long-term prospects of Facebook, now called Meta, and Google, now rebranded under Alphabet, citing regulatory risk, lack of innovation, rising taxes, and antitrust scrutiny.&#34;If you have the capital/stomach for a 5yr+ bet, here's how I'd build the short case,&#34; Palihapitiya wrote. He argued that &#34;BigTech's long term success is no longer about better products,&#34; and said their market dominance would erode under the weight of global legal, political, and economic pressures.Palihapitiya warned that while each threat alone could be dismissed, &#34;when you layer these probabilities, the risk changes.&#34; He estimated that within 7 to 10 years, the odds of meaningful market value destruction could reach 50/50.Why It Matters: Yet, five years later, the opposite has occurred. As of July 30, 2025, Meta's stock is up 174.06% in the past five years. Similarly, Alphabet's Class A shares have gained 164.15%, while Class C shares are up 166.27% during the same period, according to data from Benzinga Pro.On Wednesday, Meta posted second-quarter revenue of $47.52 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $44.58 billion. Earnings came in at $7.14 per share, also topping forecasts of $5.79 per share.Last week, Alphabet reported second-quarter revenue of $96.43 billion, exceeding analyst projections of $93.72 billion. The company also delivered earnings of $2.31 per share, topping estimates of $2.16 per share.Meta currently holds a market capitalization of $1.75 trillion, while Alphabet is valued at $2.83 trillion.<ul> <li>Apple May See Fewer Searches In Safari, But Google CEO Sundar Pichai Insists AI Is Fueling Overall Query Growth: ‘Far From A Zero-Sum Game’</li> </ul>Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.Photo courtesy: HVEPhoto on Shutterstock.com</div></div></div>

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Venture capitalist Chamath Palihapitiya's 2020 short thesis on Meta and Alphabet has not materialized, as both stocks have surged over 160% since then. Palihapitiya cited regulatory risks and market pressures as reasons for his bearish outlook. However, as of July 30, 2025, Meta's stock rose 174.06% and Alphabet's Class A shares increased by 164.15%. Recent earnings reports showed Meta's revenue at $47.52 billion and Alphabet's at $96.43 billion, both exceeding analyst expectations. Meta's market cap is $1.75 trillion, while Alphabet's is $2.83 trillion.

- Venture capitalist Chamath Palihapitiya's bearish outlook on Meta Platforms Inc. and Alphabet Inc. in 2020 has proven incorrect, as both companies have seen significant stock gains over the past five years.  
- As of July 30, 2025, Meta's stock has risen by 174.06%, while Alphabet's Class A and C shares have increased by 164.15% and 166.27%, respectively.  
- Recent earnings reports show Meta exceeding revenue expectations at $47.52 billion and Alphabet reporting $96.43 billion, highlighting their strong market positions with capitalizations of $1.75 trillion and $2.83 trillion, respectively.  

Chamath Palihapitiya Laid Out A Short Case Against Meta, Alphabet In 2020—Both Have Since Rallied Over 160%