The US Leading Economic Index Slightly Declines, Signs of Economic Growth Pressure Emerge

The Leading Economic Index (LEI) in the United States slightly fell by 0.1% in July 2025, indicating pressure on economic growth. Despite consumers' pessimism about business prospects, stock prices still provided support for the LEI. It is expected that the economy will slow down in the second half of 2025, with an annual real GDP growth rate of 1.6%. During the same period, the Coincident Economic Index (CEI) in the United States rose by 0.2% in July, indicating improvements in indicators such as non-farm employment and personal income. The Conference Board does not expect the United States to enter a recession, but warns that signals of economic recession remain