
Will Higher Revenue but Lower Profit in Q3 Reshape Buenaventura's (BVN) Investment Narrative?

Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. reported Q3 2025 results with revenue of US$431.04 million but a decrease in net income to US$167.15 million compared to 2024. This raises questions about the company's investment narrative, particularly regarding the San Gabriel project, which remains a key focus for future growth. Despite the revenue increase, operational risks and potential delays at San Gabriel could impact profitability. The company is projected to achieve $1.4 billion in revenue by 2028, with varying fair value estimates from the investment community.
- Compañía de Minas Buenaventura S.A.A. reported its third quarter 2025 results on October 30, showing quarterly revenue of US$431.04 million and net income of US$167.15 million.
- While revenue increased year-over-year, the company experienced a decrease in quarterly net income and earnings per share compared to the same period in 2024.
- We'll explore how this combination of higher revenue but lower net income impacts Buenaventura's investment narrative and future outlook.
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Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA Investment Narrative Recap
To believe in Compañía de Minas Buenaventura, an investor needs confidence in the company’s ability to execute upcoming projects and manage operational risks amid fluctuating commodity prices. While the recent Q3 results coupled higher revenue with lower net income, these changes do not appear to materially alter the main short-term catalyst, the ramp-up of the San Gabriel project, and the largest risk remains potential construction or permitting delays at this site.
The October 16 updated production guidance stands out as highly relevant, reinforcing the company’s operational targets ahead of San Gabriel’s start-up. These volume targets, particularly for gold and copper, tie directly to the expected revenue growth from upcoming project milestones and underline the central narrative for shareholders.
On the other hand, investors should be aware that persistent permitting or construction delays at San Gabriel could...
Read the full narrative on Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA (it's free!)
Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA is projected to achieve $1.4 billion in revenue and $490.9 million in earnings by 2028. This outlook is based on an assumed annual revenue growth rate of 2.8% and reflects a decrease in earnings of $15.5 million from current earnings of $506.4 million.
Uncover how Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA's forecasts yield a $22.73 fair value, a 5% upside to its current price.
Exploring Other Perspectives
Five Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates for Buenaventura range from US$7.34 to US$22.78 per share. While investors’ views differ significantly, the reliance on timely San Gabriel progress continues to shape the outlook for future growth and profitability.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
Build Your Own Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA Narrative
Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
- A great starting point for your Compañía de Minas BuenaventuraA research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

