Trump exempts Indian items from tariffs amid rising consumer costs

Indian agricultural exporters are among the winners from US President Donald Trump’s exemption of dozens of food items from his reciprocal tariffs, which some analysts say could help revive lost demand.\nTrump on Friday removed tariffs he had imposed on more than 200 food products, including beef, as consumer concerns mount over rising US grocery prices.\nUnlike EU and Vietnamese suppliers facing 15-20 per cent duties, Indian exporters of tea, coffee, spices and cashew nuts were hit harder after Trump doubled tariffs to as high as 50 per cent on imports of certain Indian goods, including a punitive 25 per cent levy from the end of August on India’s Russian oil purchases.\nAjay Sahai, director general of the Federation of Indian Export Organisations (FIEO), says that between US$2.5 billion and US$3 billion of exports will benefit from the tariff exemptions.\n“This order opens space for premium, speciality and value-added products,” he said. “Exporters who shift towards higher-value segments will be better protected from price pressures and can tap rising consumer demand.”\nOfficials involved in trade and farm export policy said the exemptions are also a positive signal for ongoing US-India trade talks and could ease export pressure triggered by this year’s tariff increases.\n\nExports of Indian goods to the US fell nearly 12 per cent year on year in September to US$5.43 billion after tariffs were raised. Indian farm exports, estimated to account for $US5.7 billion of the country’s US$87 billion of exports to the US in 2024, were among those affected.\n“The move benefits Indian farmers and exporters of tea, coffee, cashews and fruits and vegetables,” a senior official involved in Indian farm export policy said on condition of anonymity.\nAjay Srivastava, founder of the Global Trade Research Initiative lobby group, said India’s US-bound farm exports – focused on a few high-value spices and niche products – would register limited gains given its weak presence in key exempt items such as tomatoes, citrus fruits, melons, bananas and fruit juices.\n“The tariff shift would marginally strengthen India’s position in spices and niche horticulture and help revive some lost US demand after the tariff hikes,” Srivastava added.\nLatin American, African and Asean suppliers are likely to make larger gains, he said, adding that it was not immediately clear whether Indian exports will be exempt from 25 per cent reciprocal tariffs or full 50 per cent tariffs.\nExporters, however, fear that other factors will keep potential gains in check, pointing to high freight costs, strong competition from Vietnam and Indonesia and tougher US quality requirements.\n“Tariff relief is important, but market recovery also depends on logistics and our ability to match prices,” one exporter said.\n