Morning Trend | Mosaic tests support again, will the downward rebound window change dramatically?

Mosaic (MOS.US) fluctuated around $29.3 yesterday, pulling the sentiment in the sector down to freezing point. The prices of global fertilizers and agricultural product futures are under pressure, directly leading to cautious industry funding and a bearish atmosphere in the sector. The main operating styles in the market are extremely divergent, with some firmly holding their positions while others simply adopt a "mindless short position." The MACD indicator expanded green bars throughout the day, with prices firmly holding at the lower Bollinger Band, showing average rebound strength. However, based on past experience, such extreme weakness can easily create a "latent rebound." Once there is a sudden positive development in commodity prices or the industry (such as a new turning point in supply and demand expectations), the market often changes direction very quickly. Pay attention to the $29.3-$28.9 range; if this defense line holds or quickly recovers during the day, the probability of a short-term recovery will immediately increase. Practical advice: Don't bet on direction; accumulate some bottom positions to guard against sudden surges, and wait for volume stabilization on the right side before chasing. Agricultural chemical stocks often have unexpected small rebounds; pay attention to volume and net capital inflow. If there are signals of active capital grabbing during the day, the rebound may start when expectations are at their worst. Be patient in guarding the support area; don't cut losses in extreme weakness, as short-term replenishment is "just a line away."

During the trading session, the MACD indicator expanded green bars all the way, with prices firmly holding at the lower Bollinger Band, showing average rebound strength. However, based on past experience, such extreme weakness can easily create a "latent rebound." Once there is a sudden positive development in commodity prices or the industry (such as a new turning point in supply and demand expectations), the market often changes direction very quickly. Pay attention to the $29.3-$28.9 range; if this defense line holds steady or quickly recovers during the session, the probability of a short-term recovery will immediately surge.

Practical advice: Don't bet on direction; accumulate some bottom positions to guard against sudden attacks, and wait for a stable increase in volume before chasing. Agricultural chemical stocks often have unexpected small rebounds, so pay attention to volume and net capital inflow. If there are signals of active capital grabbing during the session, the rebound may start when expectations are at their worst. Be patient in holding the support zone; don't cut losses during extreme weakness, as short-term replenishment is "just a line away."