
EU staples: MS sees difficult 2026, selective bright spots

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Morgan Stanley analysts predict a challenging 2026 for European consumer staples, expecting them to underperform MSCI Europe by 10% and remain flat. The valuation gap with U.S. peers is near record levels, with EU staples trading at a 30% discount. The difficult trading environment is attributed to a softening consumer and inflation pressures. Stock-picking is crucial, with Household & Personal Care and Tobacco sectors preferred. Haleon is the top pick in HPC, ABI in beverages, and Danone in food. Unilever is upgraded to overweight, while Reckitt is downgraded to equal weight.

