U.S. labor market faces uncertainty with mixed signals as November's nonfarm payrolls expected to rise by 40,000, below healthy levels. Unemployment rate projected to remain at 4.4%. Shutdown delays accurate data.

Unusual Whales
2025.12.15 20:24
The U.S. labor market has been presenting conflicting signals recently, with some areas cooling down while others maintaining stability. This uncertainty peaked this week with the release of November's Employment Situation report and overdue establishment survey data for October. The November report is expected to show a 40,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, a significant slowdown from September, with an unemployment rate remaining steady at 4.4%. Wall Street experts are cautious, while traders are slightly more optimistic. The government shutdown disrupted the normal data cycle, resulting in challenges in accurately gauging the state of the labor market.