Coinbase: Trump's "Big Beautiful Plan" may push gamblers towards prediction markets

According to Coinbase, next year, gamblers focused on tax costs may seek solace in prediction markets. In the "2026 Outlook Report" released this week, Coinbase pointed out that "starting in 2026, a provision in the 'Big Beautiful Bill' signed in July 2025 will limit the tax deduction for gambling losses that hedge profits." The bill officially took effect after being signed by President Trump (one of the key agendas during his term). This change may result in taxpayers having to pay taxes on so-called "Phantom Income," even if they have minimal profits or are overall in a net loss position. "Therefore, prediction markets utilizing financial contracts similar to derivatives may become a more tax-efficient alternative compared to traditional bookmakers and casinos."