
Should ON Semiconductor’s NASDAQ-100 Exit and Softer Outlook Shift the ON Investment Narrative?

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ON Semiconductor was removed from the NASDAQ-100 Index on December 19, 2025, amid partnerships and share repurchases. Despite these efforts, investor focus has shifted to lower earnings expectations and cautious analyst revisions. The company's narrative hinges on its automotive and power solutions, with a projected $7.5 billion revenue by 2028. Analysts' fair value estimates for ON vary, reflecting differing views on its long-term potential versus immediate risks. The removal affects sentiment more than the core thesis, with key factors being utilization and margin recovery.
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