The first non-farm data of 2026 is coming! Will gold and the US dollar face a huge shock? Analysts say this
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On January 9, 2026, the United States will release the December non-farm payroll report, with the market expecting an increase of 60,000 jobs and an unemployment rate remaining at 4.6%. Analysts point out that strong non-farm data may dampen interest rate cut expectations, while weaker data may enhance those expectations. Citigroup predicts an increase of 75,000 jobs, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.7%. If the data exceeds expectations, the US dollar will benefit, and gold prices may fall; if the data falls short of expectations, gold will rise. Analysts believe that the upside for the US dollar may be limited unless the data is strong
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