<div id="readability-page-1"><p>Elon Musk, the CEO of EV maker Tesla (TSLA), recently shared a new estimate for how much real-world data is needed to make unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) truly safe. According to Musk, Tesla needs about 10 billion miles of driving data to handle the full range of real-world situations. He explained that driving is difficult to automate because reality has a &#34;super long tail of complexity,&#34; meaning rare and unexpected scenarios matter just as much as common ones. Interestingly, this estimate is higher than his earlier view of around 6 billion miles.</p><h3>Claim 70% Off TipRanks Premium</h3><ul><li>Unlock  hedge fund-level data  and  powerful investing tools  for smarter, sharper decisions  </li><li> Stay ahead of the market with  the latest news and analysis  and maximize your portfolio's potential</li></ul> <p>Musk's comment came in response to a post by Paul Beisel, a former Apple (AAPL) and Rivian (RIVN) engineer, who discussed the gap between impressive tech demos and real-world products. Beisel argued that autonomy is not something competitors can quickly catch up to using simulations or limited road testing. Instead, he said the problem requires massive scale, real data, and constant iteration, areas where Tesla already has a significant lead. </p> <p>In fact, Tesla's FSD system has already logged close to 7 billion miles as of late 2025, including more than 2.5 billion miles on inner-city roads. This suggests that Tesla may currently have more real-world autonomy data than any other company. Separately, Tesla's VP of AI software, Ashok Elluswamy, said that the &#34;long tail&#34; of rare driving scenarios is so large that most people underestimate it, which is why full autonomy remains such a difficult problem to crack.</p> <h2><strong>What Is the Prediction for TSLA Stock?</strong></h2> <p>Turning to Wall Street, analysts have a Hold consensus rating on TSLA stock based on 13 Buys, 10 Holds, and seven Sells assigned in the past three months, as indicated by the graphic below. Furthermore, the average TSLA price target of $405.94 per share implies 6.9% downside risk.</p></div>

TSLA

TSDD

TSLL

TSLQ

09366

07766

07366

TSLR

<p>Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla, stated that the company requires approximately 10 billion miles of driving data to ensure the safety of its Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology. This estimate has increased from his previous figure of 6 billion miles. Musk emphasized the complexity of real-world driving scenarios, which necessitate extensive data collection. Tesla's FSD has already accumulated nearly 7 billion miles, indicating a significant lead in real-world autonomy data compared to competitors. Analysts currently rate TSLA stock as a Hold, with an average price target suggesting a 6.9% downside risk.</p>

- Elon Musk stated that Tesla requires approximately 10 billion miles of real-world driving data for safe unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD), an increase from his previous estimate of 6 billion miles.  
- His comments followed a discussion on the need for extensive real data in developing autonomy, where Tesla has a significant advantage with nearly 7 billion miles already logged.  
- Additionally, analysts currently rate TSLA stock as a Hold, with an average price target indicating a potential downside risk of 6.9%.

Elon Musk Says Tesla Needs 10 Billion Miles to Achieve True Self-Driving