What are the interest rate expectations for the major central banks at the start of 2026?
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Interest rate expectations for major central banks at the start of 2026 indicate potential rate cuts by year-end for the Fed (54 bps), BoE (43 bps), and ECB (1 bps), with high probabilities of no change at upcoming meetings. Rate hikes are expected for the BoC (13 bps), BoJ (35 bps), RBA (32 bps), RBNZ (33 bps), and SNB (4 bps), also with high probabilities of no change. Recent soft inflation data has led to dovish repricing for several banks, particularly the ECB, BoJ, and BoC.
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