Kalshi traders see a 42% chance of a Greenland deal before Trump’s term ends
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Kalshi traders estimate a 42% chance of the U.S. acquiring part of Greenland by the end of President Trump's term in 2029, with current odds at 13% by May 2026 and 27% before 2027. The trading volume on Kalshi is over $3.6 million, while Polymarket shows a 21% probability with a volume of $13.8 million. This interest is fueled by Greenland's strategic value amid changing geopolitical dynamics, as Trump threatens tariffs on countries opposing the acquisition.
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