SEB Sees Swedish Growth Accelerating as Inflation Falls Below Target
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SEB projects steady global GDP growth of over 3% for 2026 and 2027, with Swedish growth accelerating ahead of fiscal stimulus in 2026. Inflation is expected to fall below target in 2024. An expansionary fiscal policy, including SEK 80 billion in tax reductions, will lead to a total expansion of around SEK 130 billion. Government debt is forecasted to rise to 37% of GDP by 2027, but remains moderate internationally. Investments are expected to grow by 4% annually, and exports by 5%. Housing investment is predicted to recover slightly in 2026-2027.
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