IMF keeps China 2026 GDP forecast at 4.5% but warns of risks to growth
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The IMF has maintained China's GDP growth forecast at 4.5% for 2026, citing risks from weak domestic demand and a slowing global economy. The Fund highlighted a significant contraction in the property sector as a major domestic risk and escalating trade tensions as an external threat. It urged Chinese policymakers to prioritize a transition to a consumption-led economy, reduce industry subsidies, and restructure local government debt to prevent future financial issues.
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