RIVER tops crypto gains with 34% surge – But ONE zone could end it fast

River [RIVER] staged a decisive move, surging roughly 34%, the largest gain recorded across the crypto market over the past 24 hours. Buyer sentiment tilted sharply in favor of the bulls.Despite the sharp rally, investors still needed caution regarding the longer-term outlook. Indicators tracking investor sentiment weakened notably.Only 58% of investors maintained a bullish stance on the altcoin as of press time, down from 82% earlier in the day. The shift suggested that confidence had moderated despite strong price action.Momentum remains elevatedAlthough some investors have reduced their bullish positioning through sentiment-based metrics, technical indicators show that price momentum remains firmly intact.At the time of writing, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) neared the positive territory, signaling a bullish market structure for RIVER.The continued expansion of green histogram bars, each forming higher than the previous one, reinforced the view that upward momentum strengthened. This pattern typically reflected sustained buying pressure and supported a constructive outlook.Source: TradingViewSimilarly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which measures the speed and magnitude of price changes, placed RIVER in favorable bullish territory.An RSI reading between 50 and 70 typically signals bullish control. RIVER’s RSI hovered near 55, suggesting buyers still dominated.At the same time, the altcoin remained below overbought conditions. This left room for additional upside if momentum held.A critical resistance threatHowever, a significant resistance level stood directly ahead.This zone previously triggered a price rejection and remained a critical level. Historically, such resistance often attracts selling pressure after sharp rallies.If RIVER failed to break above this zone, a pullback could become increasingly likely.Source: TradingViewShould rejection occur, RIVER could decline toward the $12.24 region. That scenario implied an average correction of roughly 38%.A milder rejection could produce a shallower pullback with limited downside.However, aggressive profit-taking could accelerate losses and expose the asset to deeper downside pressure.Short-term outlook remains constructiveIn the short term, the Derivatives market data support the possibility of continued upside.At the time of writing, Open Interest increased by $27.2 million, bringing total Open Interest to $125.16 million. The rise indicated renewed trader participation.Source: CoinGlassMeanwhile, Funding Rates turned positive and read 0.0078%. This meant long positions paid shorts, reflecting bullish bias in perpetual futures markets.The combination of rising Open Interest and positive Funding Rates suggested fresh capital entered the market with a bullish orientation.If MACD and RSI continued trending upward, and leveraged longs remained concentrated on the upside, RIVER could extend its rebound.Final SummaryRIVER surged 34% in 24 hours, making it the top-performing asset across the crypto market during the period.Investor sentiment weakened despite the rally, with bullish positioning dropping from 82% to 58%.