<div id="readability-page-1"><div><p>ZJLD Group (SEHK:6979) has issued unaudited earnings guidance for 2025, flagging revenue of around CN¥3.55b to CN¥3.70b and profit of CN¥0.52b to CN¥0.58b, both sharply lower than 2024.</p> <p>See our latest analysis for ZJLD Group.</p> <p>The earnings guidance lands after a strong run in the shares, with a 90 day share price return of 16% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 35.19%. This suggests momentum has been positive even as expectations for 2025 are reset. At the latest share price of HK$9.28, recent gains indicate investors have been reassessing both growth prospects and risk around future profit levels.</p> <p>If this guidance is making you reassess your watchlist, it could be a good moment to broaden your search with our 100 top founder-led companies and see what else stands out.</p> <p>With 2025 guidance pointing to sharply lower CN¥3.55b to CN¥3.70b revenue and CN¥0.52b to CN¥0.58b profit, yet the share price still up strongly over 1 year, is there real value here, or is the market already pricing in future growth?</p> <h2>Preferred P/E of 24.2x: Is it justified?</h2> <p>On our data, ZJLD Group is trading on a P/E of 24.2x, which looks expensive versus both its own fair P/E estimate and sector peers at the latest close of HK$9.28.</p> <p>The P/E multiple compares the current share price with earnings per share, so a higher number usually means investors are paying up for expected profit growth or quality. For ZJLD Group, the market appears to be assigning a premium tag to its earnings, even though recent guidance points to lower profit for 2025.</p> <p>That premium is clear when you put it next to the Asian Beverage industry average P/E of 17.2x, as well as the estimated fair P/E of 20.5x that our work suggests the market could eventually lean toward. Both comparisons point to ZJLD Group trading on a richer earnings multiple than those reference points.</p> <p>Explore the SWS fair ratio for ZJLD Group</p> <p><strong>Result: Price-to-earnings of 24.2x (OVERVALUED)</strong></p> <p>However, guidance for lower 2025 profit and the current premium P/E both leave limited room for disappointment if earnings or sentiment soften from this point.</p> <p>Find out about the key risks to this ZJLD Group narrative.</p> <h2>Another View: Cash Flows Point To A Similar Message</h2> <p>Our DCF model suggests a fair value of about HK$7.32 per share, compared with the current price of HK$9.28, which indicates the shares screen as expensive on this method as well. If both earnings multiples and cash flows are flashing rich, what exactly is the market paying up for?</p> <p>Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.</p> <figure><img height="476" src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://images.simplywall.st/company/7e1b43b5-653f-42a6-93cf-b4c3d89449b0/chart/dcf/query-ZGF0ZT0yMDI2LTAzLTA5?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" width="746" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://images.simplywall.st/company/7e1b43b5-653f-42a6-93cf-b4c3d89449b0/chart/dcf/query-ZGF0ZT0yMDI2LTAzLTA5"/><figcaption>6979 Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2026</figcaption></figure><p>Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out ZJLD Group for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 227 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.</p> <h2>Next Steps</h2> <p>With sentiment clearly mixed around valuation and guidance, it makes sense to look at the numbers yourself and move quickly to form your own view. You can start with our breakdown of 1 key reward and 1 important warning sign.</p> <h2>Looking for more investment ideas?</h2> <p>If ZJLD’s valuation leaves you on the fence, this is the moment to widen your search and see what other opportunities match your style and risk comfort.</p> <ul> <li>Target quality at a discount by reviewing our 227 high quality undervalued stocks that combine solid fundamentals with prices that may not fully reflect them yet.</li> <li>Lock in income potential by scanning our 466 dividend fortresses that focus on higher yielding companies with the capacity to keep paying shareholders.</li> <li>Prioritise resilience by checking our 304 resilient stocks with low risk scores that screen for companies with lower risk scores and steadier financial profiles.</li> </ul> <p><em> This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. <strong>We provide commentary based on historical data     and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice.</strong> It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your     financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.     Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.     Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.</em></p><div><h3>Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.</h3><p>Discover if ZJLD Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring <strong>fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.</strong></p><p>Access Free Analysis</p></div></div></div>

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<p>ZJLD Group (SEHK:6979) has revised its 2025 earnings guidance, projecting revenue between CN¥3.55b and CN¥3.70b, and profit between CN¥0.52b and CN¥0.58b, significantly lower than 2024. Despite a strong share price performance, with a 90-day return of 16% and a 1-year return of 35.19%, the stock trades at a P/E of 24.2x, above the industry average of 17.2x. A DCF analysis suggests a fair value of HK$7.32 per share, indicating the stock may be overvalued. Investors are advised to reassess their positions given the mixed sentiment around valuation and guidance.</p>

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Assessing ZJLD Group (SEHK:6979) Valuation After Sharp 2025 Earnings Guidance Cut