<p>The situation in Iran and surrounding countries remains tense, driving international oil prices to soar and exacerbating turmoil in global financial markets. This week, the market will welcome a series of key economic data and major corporate earnings, which may provide direction for the volatile market.</p>
<h2>The market expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged this time</h2>
<p>This week marks the &#34;Super Central Bank Week,&#34; with central banks from multiple countries, including the US, Japan, and the UK, announcing their interest rate decisions. The Federal Reserve will release its latest economic forecasts and interest rate dot plot. Data from the FedWatch tool of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange shows that the market expects a 98.1% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in March. Despite US President Trump repeatedly urging for rate cuts, several major banks predict that the sharp rise in oil prices may delay the first rate cut of the year until September or even December; HSBC economists further indicate that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in 2026.</p>
<p>Additionally, the US will release a series of economic data, including February industrial production, February Producer Price Index (PPI), initial jobless claims for the week, and January new home sales. The ongoing new round of economic and trade consultations between China and the US in France may discuss topics such as US tariff adjustments and China's rare earth exports to the US.</p>
<h2>NVIDIA GTC Conference to be held from March 16 to 19</h2>
<p>This week, the NVIDIA GTC conference will be held in the US, where NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang is expected to announce several significant AI-related news that may have a substantial impact on tech stocks. US companies such as Micron Tech (MU), Lululemon (LULU), and Carnival Corporation (CCL), as well as Chinese concept stock PDD, will also announce their earnings this week. This Friday (20th), the US market will experience &#34;Quadruple Witching Day,&#34; where stock index futures and options will be settled, potentially intensifying fluctuations in external markets.</p>
<h2>Retail sales growth may rebound</h2>
<p>On the mainland, the National Bureau of Statistics will release &#34;three driving forces&#34; data today. According to institutions' forecasts, supported by travel and consumption during the Spring Festival holiday, the growth rate of total retail sales of consumer goods from January to February may rebound to a range of 1.6% to 2.5%.</p>
<h2>Tencent and Alibaba show signs of stopping the decline</h2>
<p>The Hong Kong stock market earnings season is entering a significant week, with the two major tech stocks Tencent (700) and Alibaba (9988) being the most noteworthy this week. Major banks predict that Alibaba's median revenue is expected to reach RMB 289.795 billion, a year-on-year increase of 3.4%; adjusted net profit is expected to be RMB 29.579 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 42.1%; Tencent's expected quarterly median revenue is about RMB 194.074 billion, a year-on-year increase of 12.5%; adjusted profit is expected to reach RMB 64.926 billion, an increase of 17.4%.</p>
<p>The chief analyst of GaoGe Securities, Nie Zhenbang, stated that many tech stocks have accumulated a certain decline in the past. If Tencent and Alibaba convey more AI stories after their earnings, it may become an opportunity for funds to reinvest in the tech sector. &#34;Both stocks show signs of stopping the decline, with a high chance of rebound, but the extent of the rebound is uncertain.&#34; He believes that Tencent's recent momentum is stronger than Alibaba's, and if it stabilizes at 580 yuan, it may challenge 620 yuan in the short term; as for Alibaba, it is expected to return to the 140 yuan level, and if there are surprises in the post-earnings deployment, it may rise to 150 yuan this month
In addition, major stocks such as CK Hutchison Holdings (001), Zijin Mining (2899), and AIA Group (1299) will also announce their earnings this week.</p>
<h2>Key Earnings Calendar for This Week</h2>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th></th>
<th></th>
<th></th>
<th></th>
<th></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Monday<br/>(March 16)</td>
<td>Tuesday<br/>(March 17)</td>
<td>Wednesday<br/>(March 18)</td>
<td>Thursday<br/>(March 19)</td>
<td>Friday<br/>(March 20)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Leapmotor (9863)</td>
<td>Hongkong Electric (2638)</td>
<td>Tencent (700)</td>
<td>AIA Group (1299)</td>
<td>Zijin Mining (2899)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sinopec Oilfield Service (1033)</td>
<td>Reading Group (772)</td>
<td>Geely Automobile (175)</td>
<td>CK Hutchison Holdings (001)</td>
<td>Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (6693)</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

LULG

<p>This week, the market will focus on the earnings of heavyweight companies and key economic data, with the Federal Reserve expected to keep interest rates unchanged. International oil prices have surged due to tensions between the U.S. and Iran, impacting global financial markets. NVIDIA's GTC conference will release AI-related news, which may affect technology stocks. Companies such as Micron Tech, Lululemon, and PDD will also announce their earnings. In addition, the growth rate of total retail sales of consumer goods in mainland China is expected to rebound, with Tencent and Alibaba's earnings drawing significant attention</p>

- The geopolitical tensions in Iran and surrounding countries continue to push international oil prices higher, impacting global financial markets.  
- This week is set to see significant economic data releases and company earnings, with expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates unchanged.  
- Key companies like Nvidia, Tencent, and Alibaba are set to report results, amid signs of potential rebounds in the tech sector, while a series of economic indicators from the U.S. will also be released.

Stheadline

Leverage Shares 2X Long LULU Daily ETF

iShares US Oil & Gas Expl & Prod

Micron Tech

Lululemon

VanEck Semiconductor ETF

Alibaba

Direxion Daily NVDA Bull 2X Shares

KraneShares 2x Long PDD Daily ETF

SPDR S&P Semicon

NVIDIA

VanEck Oil Services ETF

Direxion Semicon Bull 3X

BABA-W

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Direxion Daily MU Bull 2X Shares

ISHRS S&P Glb Engy

KraneShares 2x Long BABA Daily ETF

GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF

iShares Semiconductor ETF

YieldMax NVDA Option Income Strategy ETF

GraniteShares 2x Long PDD Daily ETF

Us Brent Oil

T-Rex 2X Long NVIDIA Daily Target ETF

Spdr Select Tech

Invesco Semiconductors ETF

SPDR O&G Ex & Prd

SPDR Energy Select

United States Oil Fund LP

GraniteShares 2x Long MU Daily ETF

Invesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF

This week focuses on heavyweight stock earnings and central bank movements, while the tense situation between the U.S. and Iran continues to influence the market outlook｜Weekly Preview