
Guo Jin Mou Yiling: Signals for Risk Asset Bottoming and Medium-Term Themes

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The weakening dollar is showing signs of bottoming out for risk assets. The US-Iran conflict is manageable, and non-US central banks are prioritizing interest rate hikes, limiting dollar strength. The dollar index has not broken past 100.50. Market pricing of a prolonged US involvement in the Iran issue has led to a sell-off in US equities, signaling a bottom for global risk assets. Trump's cycle of pressure and compromise has failed to achieve "America First," instead causing the dollar to weaken
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