<div id="readability-page-1" class="page">The Atlanta Fed GDPNow growth estimate from their model has dipped to 1.9% from 2.0%.In their own words:<blockquote>The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2026 is 1.9 percent on April 1, down from 2.0 percent on March 23. After this morning’s retail sales release from the US Census Bureau and this morning’s manufacturing report from the Institute for Supply Management, the nowcast of first-quarter real personal consumption expenditures growth decreased from 1.9 percent to 1.5 percent.</blockquote>The next GDPNow update is Thursday, April 2. Please see the &#34;Release Dates&#34; tab for a list of upcoming releases.The Atlanta Fed model for GDP takes the data for the quarter and projects a growth GDP in &#34;real time&#34;. As more more data becomes available, the model should mimic the growth for the quarter. However, last quarter, the Atlanta Fed forecas growth at 3.0%, while the actual advanced reading came in much lower at 1.4%. Private economists had forecast and average GDP gain of 2.8%.</div>

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The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow growth estimate for Q1 2026 has decreased to 1.9% from 2.0%. This adjustment follows recent retail sales and manufacturing reports, which also led to a reduction in the forecast for personal consumption expenditures growth from 1.9% to 1.5%. The next update is scheduled for April 2. Previously, the Atlanta Fed had forecasted a growth of 3.0% for the last quarter, but the actual reading was only 1.4%.

- The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in Q1 2026 has decreased to 1.9% from the previous 2.0%.  
- This adjustment follows recent data releases, showing a decline in the forecast for personal consumption expenditures growth from 1.9% to 1.5%.  
- The model’s previous forecast of 3.0% growth for the last quarter significantly contrasted with the actual growth rate of 1.4%, while private economists had anticipated a 2.8% growth.

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Atlanta Fed GDPNow dips to 1.9% from 2.0% last.