
Markets price three ECB rate hikes in 2026 as Iran de-escalation hopes fade

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Euro zone benchmark Bund yields ended a three-day decline as traders increased expectations for ECB interest rate hikes amid fading hopes for Middle East de-escalation. Money markets now anticipate a year-end ECB deposit rate of 2.75%, up from 2.68%. German 10-year bond yields rose to 3.03%, while Italy's 10-year yields increased to 3.93%. Oil prices have surged, raising inflation concerns and influencing rate hike expectations. U.S. President Trump announced more aggressive actions against Iran, further complicating the geopolitical landscape.
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