With the ink barely dry on the US-Iran ceasefire agreement, differences have already publicly emerged. Less than 24 hours after announcing a two-week ceasefire, Trump overturned his previous stance of using Iran's &#34;10-point plan&#34; as the basis for negotiations, instead insisting on the US's &#34;15-point proposal&#34; to lead subsequent talks, severely testing this fragile ceasefire agreement on its first day.
According to CCTV News on the 9th, Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf publicly accused that before the US-Iran negotiations even began, three key clauses of the &#34;10-point plan&#34; had already been violated, including the unfulfilled commitment to a ceasefire in Lebanon, an intrusion by a drone into Iranian airspace, and the US's denial of Iran's right to uranium enrichment.
The Iranian side warned that if the US does not accept the &#34;10-point plan&#34; as the negotiation framework, Iran's Supreme Leader will not approve the signing of the ceasefire agreement.
Despite the volatile situation, the market still viewed this ceasefire as a signal of temporary de-escalation. US stocks rose on Wednesday, and oil prices fell below $95 per barrel. However, analysts generally warned that the gap between the demands of both sides remains massive, and there is still high uncertainty as to whether the ceasefire can be maintained until the scheduled negotiation window.
<h2>Trump Overturns &#34;10-Point Plan,&#34; White House Claims It Was &#34;Thrown in the Trash&#34;</h2>
On the night the ceasefire was announced, Trump confirmed on social media that he had received Iran's 10-point proposal and stated that it &#34;could serve as a feasible basis for commencing negotiations.&#34;
However, according to media reports, Trump quickly shifted his stance on Wednesday, repositioning the US's &#34;15-point proposal&#34; as the basis for negotiations and claiming that &#34;many of these terms have already been agreed upon&#34;—despite Iran having previously explicitly rejected that plan.
White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt subsequently strongly endorsed this shift, stating that Iran's original proposal was &#34;fundamentally unserious and unacceptable, and has been completely rejected by President Trump and the US negotiating team—literally thrown in the trash.&#34; She emphasized, &#34;The idea that President Trump would accept Iran's wish list as an agreement is completely absurd.&#34;
The core content of Iran's &#34;10-point plan&#34; included: coordinating with Iran's armed forces to control passage through the Strait of Hormuz, withdrawal of US combat forces from all bases in the region, full compensation for Iran's losses, lifting all Level 1 and Level 2 sanctions, acceptance of Iran's uranium enrichment activities, and termination of relevant UN Security Council resolutions. According to media, the clauses concerning control of the Strait of Hormuz and the right to uranium enrichment are clear red lines for Washington.
<h2>Lebanese Front Becomes Flashpoint, Iran Threatens to Withdraw from Agreement</h2>
Another significant loophole in the ceasefire agreement lies in the vague definition of the Lebanese front. Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu explicitly stated on Wednesday that the ceasefire agreement does not apply to Lebanon, and Israel will continue its military operations against Hezbollah forces in Lebanon. This stance fundamentally differs from the understanding of Iran and the mediator, Pakistan.
According to Tasnim News Agency, Israel's continued attacks on Lebanon have prompted Iran to threaten to withdraw from the ceasefire agreement if the attacks do not stop. Ghalibaf's statement also listed the ceasefire in Lebanon as the primary clause violated in the &#34;10-point plan,&#34; citing a previous public statement by Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif—who had explicitly announced that the ceasefire &#34;includes all areas, including Lebanon and other regions, and is effective immediately.&#34;
Trump did not clarify the Lebanon issue until Wednesday morning, stating that the ceasefire does not cover the Lebanese front, and remarked dismissively in a phone interview with PBS, &#34;that problem will also be dealt with, it's okay.&#34;
Meanwhile, the Kuwaiti military reported that Iranian drones launched &#34;intensive&#34; attacks on energy, power, and desalination facilities, causing significant damage, and the Strait of Hormuz effectively remained blockaded.
<h2>Behind the Ceasefire: Trump Under Pressure to Compromise, Multiple Dilemmas Drive the Shift</h2>
According to analysis from Xinhua News Agency, it was multiple overlapping pressures that forced Trump to announce a ceasefire about an hour and a half before his &#34;ultimatum.&#34;
Militarily, US and Israeli large-scale airstrikes against Iran have continued for 40 days, but Iran has shown resilient resistance. US warplanes have been shot down and damaged by Iranian air defense fire, and high-value early warning assets have been frequently destroyed. Iran's saturation attacks with low-cost missiles and drones have created a &#34;magazine depth&#34; crisis for US air defense systems.
Economically, the impact of the conflict has spread domestically. Affected by the conflict, domestic gasoline prices in the US have risen by nearly 40%, and financial markets have experienced violent fluctuations. Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody's Analytics, had previously warned that if oil prices remain high, the US economy would face the risk of recession.
Politically, Trump's public support base has been eroded. His approval rating in late March had fallen to 35%, the lowest since his return to the White House, and his core voter base has also shown division, with several conservative opinion leaders publicly opposing the conflict. Republican Senator Rand Paul warned that if the conflict continues to push up oil prices, the Republican Party will suffer a &#34;disastrous defeat&#34; in the midterm elections.
<h2>Negotiation Prospects Uncertain, Analysts Warn of Unbridgeable Divides</h2>
According to Xinhua, the US and Iran plan to hold face-to-face talks in Islamabad this weekend. The US delegation is expected to include Vice President Vance, Presidential Envoy Steve Witkoff, and Trump's son-in-law Jared Kushner. The Iranian side will be led by Speaker Ghalibaf. Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz has formally invited representatives from both sides to Islamabad for negotiations on the 10th.
However, analysts are generally cautious about the prospects of the negotiations. James Acton, a Senior Fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, pointed out that Iran's proposal did not mention nuclear programs at all but included a clause on passage through the Strait of Hormuz, and that the US accepting it as a basis for negotiations was a &#34;huge concession.&#34; Richard Fontaine, CEO of the Center for a New American Security, stated that Iran's 10-point suggestion &#34;reads like a pre-war wish list from the Iranian side.&#34;
Dennis Ross, former Middle East envoy for President Clinton, said, &#34;These two weeks are likely to be full of variables,&#34; and emphasized the need to ask what commitments each side has actually made.
Ding Long, a professor at the Middle East Studies Institute of Shanghai International Studies University, believes that the US-Iran differences remain significant and that Israel is an uncontrollable factor. However, given that both sides' attitudes are becoming more pragmatic, a compromise agreement is not out of the question. The model of this ceasefire is quite similar to the ceasefire agreement previously reached by the Trump administration in Gaza—similarly leaving core differences for a later date, and the experience in Gaza shows that this approach often severely hinders subsequent progress.

Iran claims the foundation for negotiations has been undermined, and the Strait of Hormuz has been closed again; the White House announced that the first round of US-Iran talks will be held in Pakistan on the 11th. The situation is drawing attention. Do you think the talks can proceed smoothly?

Iran claims the foundation for negotiations has been undermined, and the Strait of Hormuz has been closed again; the White House announced that the first round of US-Iran talks will be held in Pakistan on the 11th. The situation is drawing attention. Do you think the talks can proceed smoothly?

The Hormuz National Park closes again, leaving US-Iran peace talks in limbo.

Trump overturned his commitment within 24 hours, tossing Iran's "10-point plan" into the "trash can"; Iran, citing violations of three clauses, threatened that its Supreme Leader would refuse to sign. With the Lebanese front unresolved and the Strait of Hormuz effectively still blockaded, analysts warn—behind the temporary dip in oil prices and the short-term rise in US stocks—that this is merely a "Gaza-style ceasefire" that leaves core differences for later, leaving the survival of the two-week negotiation window highly in doubt

- The temporary ceasefire agreement between the U.S. and Iran faces significant challenges just hours after its announcement, as Trump retracts support for Iran's "10-point plan" in favor of a U.S. "15-point proposal."  
- Iranian officials accuse the U.S. of violating key terms before talks even began, including issues related to Lebanon and uranium enrichment rights.  
- Despite these tensions, markets reacted positively, viewing the ceasefire as a potential de-escalation, although experts warn of substantial unresolved differences that may hinder future negotiations.

Ceasefire Hits Variables on Day One: Trump "Flip-Flops," Rejects Iran's "10-Point Plan" as Basis