The situation in the Middle East is repeatedly fluctuating, with oil prices experiencing severe volatility around the $100 mark, and the reshaping of the global energy landscape is prompting market reconstruction.
<h1>Against the backdrop of moderately loose monetary policy and enhanced economic recovery momentum, in the next three months, grasping the three main lines of energy security, policy dividends, and asset revaluation will enable the locking in of certain opportunities amidst volatility.</h1>
The breakdown of US-Iran negotiations and the increasing risks to navigation in the Strait of Hormuz have continuously embedded geopolitical premiums into energy prices. However, the resilience of the Chinese market is evident, primarily due to the energy self-sufficiency rate reaching 85%, significantly higher than the approximately 15% level of Japan and South Korea, which has notably reduced the transmission effects of external shocks.
In the short term, if conflicts continue to escalate, it may raise inflation expectations and delay the pace of interest rate cuts;
However, in the long term, high oil prices will accelerate the energy transition, forcing the replacement of new energy sources and the construction of energy security systems, bringing structural opportunities to related fields. The current market has digested most geopolitical risks, and subsequent fluctuations will rely more on actual supply and demand changes rather than purely emotional drives.
The Politburo meeting at the end of April will become a policy barometer, expected to focus on two major directions: first, energy security and supply stability, strengthening oil and gas reserves and diversifying import channels, and increasing domestic exploration and development efforts;
Second, green transition and new infrastructure, implementing the &#34;14th Five-Year&#34; plan for collaborative investment in electricity, and promoting the construction of energy infrastructure such as ultra-high voltage and energy storage.
In terms of monetary policy, the central bank will maintain reasonable liquidity, using structural tools to support energy transition and industrial chain security, providing low-cost funding support for related fields. The measures to respond to energy price fluctuations will directly affect market risk appetite and industry profit expectations, making it a key node for laying out the next stage of the market.
Under the energy conflict, opportunities for China's core assets are concentrated in the threefold security logic: first, industrial chain security, where manufacturing with a complete industrial chain and cost advantages demonstrates stronger bargaining power amidst energy price fluctuations;
Second, energy supply security, where domestic energy production and reserve system-related fields benefit from enhanced supply protection policies; finally, technological substitution security, where breakthroughs in new energy and energy storage technologies accelerate the reduction of dependence on traditional energy sources.
In a liquidity easing environment, core assets with a safety premium will attract capital, becoming the market's &#34;ballast,&#34; especially during periods of repeated conflict, where their defensive attributes and growth potential will resonate.
So what choices should be made? Tonight at 7 PM, in the Breaking Bamboo live broadcast room, we have specially invited the familiar Miss Dong to bring you:
Theme: Energy Conflict, Where Are the Core Opportunities?
<ol>
<li>
Is the deadlock in the Middle East conflict going to impact the market again?
</li>
<li>
What opportunities might arise from the important meeting at the end of the month?
</li>
<li>
Where are the opportunities for China's core assets amidst the energy conflict?
</li>
<li>
Let's talk about gold, strategic resources, new energy, technology, and innovative drugs.
</li>
</ol>
Note: The content of this article is based on publicly available information and the thematic outline provided by the speaker, and does not represent the speaker's personal views, nor does it constitute any form of investment advice. The market has risks, and decisions should be made cautiously

The situation in the Middle East affects oil price fluctuations and reshapes the global energy landscape. In the next three months, attention should be paid to energy security, policy dividends, and asset revaluation. The breakdown of negotiations between the U.S. and Iran exacerbates geopolitical risks, but China's energy self-sufficiency rate is as high as 85%, reducing external shocks. In the short term, conflicts may drive up inflation, while in the long term, high oil prices will accelerate the energy transition. Policies will focus on energy security and green transformation, and the central bank will maintain liquidity support. Core asset opportunities lie in supply chain security, energy supply security, and technological substitution security. Under loose liquidity conditions, assets with safety premiums will be favored

腾讯新闻 - 财经

Occidental Petroleum

BP p.l.c.

HSPC

SPDR O&G Ex & Prd

VanEck Oil Refiners ETF

First Trust Nasdaq Clean Edg Liquid Series

ChinaAMC Green Electricity ETF

GLOBAL X MLP & Energy Infra

Pwrs Wildh Clean Engy

ChinaAMC CSI Petrochemical Industry ETF

SPDR O&G Equip

China Universal CSI Oil & Gas Resources ETF

SPDR Energy Select

Pro Ultr Bloomberg Crude Oil

VanEck Oil Services ETF

iShares US Oil Equip & Svcs

VG Energy

Guotai CSI Oil & Gas Industry ETF

Bosera CSI Oil & Gas Resources Index ETF

iShares S&P Global Clean Energy

Us Brent Oil

Alerian MLP

F SAMSUNG OIL

iShares US Oil & Gas Expl & Prod

Global X MLP

ISHRS S&P Glb Engy

United States Oil Fund LP

F GX OIL

Miss Dong: Energy Conflict, Where Are the Core Opportunities?