<div id="readability-page-1"><div><p>KEVIN Warsh, President Donald Trump’s pick to lead the Federal Reserve, asserted repeatedly at a combative confirmation hearing on Tuesday (Apr 21) that he would not cut interest rates simply because Trump wanted him to, pledging to be “strictly independent” if confirmed for one of the world’s most powerful economic positions.</p><p>In sometimes testy exchanges before the Senate Banking Committee, Warsh, 56, sought to dispel doubts around his credibility, saying Trump had “never asked me to predetermine, commit, fix, decide on any interest rate decision in any of our discussions, nor would I ever agree to do so”.</p><p>He was repeatedly asked if he would function as a “sock puppet” for Trump, who has demanded lower rates from the Fed and attacked the institution’s top leadership for failing to cut them aggressively enough. Just hours before the hearing, Trump said in an interview with CNBC that he would be “disappointed” if Warsh did not reduce borrowing costs once confirmed as Fed chair.</p><p>Warsh, who served as a Fed governor from 2006 to 2011, said that he would remain independent. In his opening statement, he said that central bankers must be “strong enough to listen to a diversity of views from all corners, humble enough to be open-minded to new ideas and new economic developments, wise enough to translate imperfect data into meaningful insight and dedicated enough to make judgements faithfully and wisely.”</p><p>But as several lawmakers on Tuesday noted, Trump’s broadsides against the Fed have gone well beyond just verbal arguments. He is in the midst of trying to remove Lisa Cook, a governor appointed by the Biden administration, from her position over unsubstantiated allegations of mortgage fraud. The Supreme Court has yet to rule on the case, but so far the justices seem wary about allowing Cook’s ousting to hold given, concerns about the Fed’s independence.</p><p>The Justice Department has also initiated a criminal investigation into the current chair, Jerome Powell, and his handling of renovations at the Fed’s headquarters in Washington, which has thrown a wrench into Warsh’s ability to get confirmed before Powell’s term as chair ends May 15.</p><div><div><h3>Navigate Asia in<br/>a new global order</h3><p>Get the insights delivered to your inbox.</p></div></div><p>That’s because Sen Thom Tillis of North Carolina, a Republican on the Banking Committee, has vowed to block any attempt to confirm a new Fed chair until the legal threats against Powell are resolved.</p><p>While Tillis said that he believed Warsh was qualified for the job, he has blasted the investigation as a blatant attempt to coerce Powell into lowering rates, undermining the Fed’s independence and confirming the politicisation of the Justice Department.</p><p>“The problem that I have here is that we had some US attorney with a dream, or assistant US attorney, thinking it would be cute to bring chair Powell under an investigation just a few months before the position was going to be open,” Tillis said on Tuesday.</p><div><div><div><p>SEE ALSO</p><div><div><div><div><p><img height="3322" src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cassette.sphdigital.com.sg/image/businesstimes/15594c8f19cbbfec32bb038edd1d920607f0c463ce004fd86bee398788380ba6/query-ZHByPTEmZj13ZWJwJnc9MjQw?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" width="4995" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cassette.sphdigital.com.sg/image/businesstimes/15594c8f19cbbfec32bb038edd1d920607f0c463ce004fd86bee398788380ba6/query-ZHByPTEmZj13ZWJwJnc9MjQw"/></p></div><p></p><h3><span>Fed chair nominee Warsh calls for ‘regime change’ and new approach to inflation</span></h3><p></p></div></div><div><div><div><p><img height="3744" src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cassette.sphdigital.com.sg/image/businesstimes/ec5b1d1e5925154161c93c858218913c5d5cc207424e3fe0b85af5d5f89435ba/query-ZHByPTEmZj13ZWJwJnc9MjQw?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" width="5616" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cassette.sphdigital.com.sg/image/businesstimes/ec5b1d1e5925154161c93c858218913c5d5cc207424e3fe0b85af5d5f89435ba/query-ZHByPTEmZj13ZWJwJnc9MjQw"/></p></div><p></p><h3><span>Trump’s quest for more sway over Fed faces fresh hurdles</span></h3><p></p></div></div><div><div><div><p><img height="3392" src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cassette.sphdigital.com.sg/image/businesstimes/a77f7295fefa058eb47b81c03891bbfc187b29a774d68c34bddadff28daa851c/query-ZHByPTEmZj13ZWJwJnc9MjQw?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" width="5088" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://cassette.sphdigital.com.sg/image/businesstimes/a77f7295fefa058eb47b81c03891bbfc187b29a774d68c34bddadff28daa851c/query-ZHByPTEmZj13ZWJwJnc9MjQw"/></p></div><p></p><h3><span>Trump threatens to fire Powell if he does not resign from Fed</span></h3><p></p></div></div></div></div></div></div><p>“Let’s get rid of this investigation so I can support your nomination,” he added.</p><p>Trump on Tuesday showed no indication that he wanted the Justice Department to drop the investigation, despite numerous legal setbacks. “You have to find out why a thing like that could happen,” he said of the central bank’s renovations. “I’m afraid Kevin will have to have an office next to me in the White House, because that building is not going to be done.”</p><p>Powell has said he will stay on as chair on a temporary basis if Warsh is not confirmed by May 15. He has yet to disclose whether he will stay on as a governor, as he can do until 2028.</p><p>Warsh also came under fire from Democrats, who questioned his shifting views on inflation. While at the Fed over a decade ago, Warsh was known as an inflation hawk, who often argued against lowering rates for fear that it could stoke price pressures.</p><p>While campaigning to be chair, Warsh embraced the need for rate cuts, arguing that there was a path for lower borrowing costs because of his plans to shrink the Fed’s holdings of Treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities. That would likely lead to higher long-term rates that then could be offset by lowering the short-term rates that the Fed controls, he has said. Warsh also argued that higher productivity from the boom in artificial intelligence could unleash higher growth without stoking inflation, which could give the Fed more space to lower rates than otherwise would be the case.</p><p>Warsh reiterated those arguments on Tuesday, despite some pushback from lawmakers, including Sen John Kennedy, R-La, who described promises of AI-driven productivity gains as “hype” from people trying to drum up interest for their coming initial public offerings.</p><p>Warsh repeatedly made clear on Tuesday that he views any overshoot of inflation as the Fed’s fault, as he criticised the central bank for missing its 2 per cent inflation target since the pandemic.</p><p>“That’s an indication that the Fed missed its mark, and we are still dealing with the legacy of the policy errors in 2021 and 2022,” said Warsh, referring to a period in which policymakers were slow to respond to mounting price pressure caused by gummed-up supply chains and a series of economic rescue packages from the government. “Once you let inflation take hold in the economy, it’s more expensive and harder to bring it down.”</p><p>On Tuesday, he pushed back on the idea that tariffs had worsened inflation and said the Fed needed “regime change in the conduct of policy. It means a new and different inflation framework”.</p><p>Warsh touched on other changes he would support if confirmed, including how the Fed communicates around its policy decisions. Warsh criticised the amount of public forecasting the Fed does, suggesting the institution should provide fewer hints about the future to avoid boxing officials in.</p><p>On Tuesday, he criticised the “dot plot” that the Fed releases four times a year, which most importantly conveys to Wall Street where the Fed sees rates in the future. “The Fed tells the whole world what their dots are doing to be, what their forecasts are going to be. Well, the Fed’s human, and then they hold on to those forecasts longer than they should,” he said.</p><p>Warsh demurred when asked how many policy meetings a year there will be if he is confirmed as chair. He said that while the Federal Reserve Act requires a minimum of four interest rate meetings per year, that was too few. He did not provide an answer about whether he would continue to hold news conferences, which take place after each of the eight interest-rate meetings that are currently held.</p><p>If confirmed, Warsh’s ascent would mark a homecoming for the Wall Street financier.</p><p>The global financial crisis dominated Warsh’s first tenure at the Fed, thrusting him into the middle of discussions about how the central bank should respond to the threat of bank failures, turmoil in financial markets and the painful recession that followed. Warsh, then the youngest-ever member of the board of governors, was initially supportive of the Fed’s efforts to shore up financial markets by buying enormous quantities of government bonds and expanding its balance sheet to ease strains in financial markets and support growth by keeping market-based rates low.</p><p>But he soon soured on subsequent efforts to buy more bonds and resigned in protest, arguing at the time that the Fed was distorting financial markets and relying too much on a tool with uncertain economic implications.</p><p>Some of the most heated exchanges came during questioning by Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., the ranking member.</p><p>Warsh declined to directly answer when asked whether Trump had lost the 2020 election, a question Warren suggested was a factual test of his independence.</p><p>“We try to keep politics, if I’m confirmed, out of the Federal Reserve,” Warsh said at one point during the exchange.</p><p>She, and other Democrats, also pressed Warsh about the more than US$100 million in assets that he has agreed to divest if he is confirmed. His financial disclosures did not include specific details about several of his current holdings, including two roughly US$50 million stakes in the Juggernaut Fund, which is tied to billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller, with whom Warsh was working closely before being nominated as chair.</p><p>Warsh said that confidentiality agreements had prevented him from providing those details, and that, if he was confirmed, his investments would be “as plain vanilla as possible” and “sitting in something like cash”.</p><p>Warren asked Warsh if his assets included entities involving the president and his family, Chinese-affiliated businesses or investments related to convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.</p><p>Warsh grew increasingly frustrated during the exchange, during which he only responded that he had agreed to “sell all of my financial assets.” NYTIMES</p><div><p>Decoding Asia newsletter: your guide to navigating Asia in a new global order. <span>Sign up here to get Decoding Asia newsletter.</span> Delivered to your inbox. Free.</p></div></div></div>

BOTZ

ARTY

<p>Kevin Warsh, President Trump's nominee for Federal Reserve chair, faced skepticism during his confirmation hearing regarding his independence from Trump. He asserted he would not make interest rate decisions based on Trump's demands. Lawmakers questioned his credibility amid ongoing investigations into current Fed chair Jerome Powell, which could delay Warsh's confirmation. Warsh, previously an inflation hawk, now supports rate cuts, citing potential economic growth from AI advancements. However, he faced criticism from both parties about his shifting stance on inflation and the politicization of the Fed.</p>

Fed pick faces scepticism over claim of independence from Trump