
M Stanley Expects HK Banks' 1Q26 Net Interest Income to Face QoQ Pressure, Offset by Strong Market-Related Income

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M Stanley forecasts that Hong Kong banks will report a decline in net interest income for 1Q26 due to a drop in HIBOR, but this will be offset by strong wealth management and market-related income. The report highlights asset quality as a key focus, particularly regarding exposure to commercial real estate. HSBC is expected to declare a quarterly dividend of USD0.10, while BOC Hong Kong is projected to declare HKD0.29. M Stanley maintains an Overweight rating on HSBC and Standard Chartered, and an Underweight rating on BOC Hong Kong.
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