G Sachs: Future Lithium Cycle to Be Demand-led, Expects Lithium Carbonate Prices to Peak in 1H26
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G Sachs forecasts that the future lithium cycle will be driven by demand, with lithium carbonate prices expected to peak at RMB164,000 (approx. USD21,000) in 1H26. A supply surplus of 20-22% is anticipated in 2H26 and 2027, despite a tight market in early 2026. The report highlights significant growth in energy storage systems and electric vehicles as crucial for sustaining the lithium upcycle. Additionally, supply disruptions in Zimbabwe could impact availability in 2027. GANFENGLITHIUM and TIANQI LITHIUM have had their target prices raised but maintain a 'Sell' rating.
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