
M Stanley Cuts CTG DUTY-FREE TP to HKD77, Hainan Duty-Free Sales Growth Slower Than Expected

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M Stanley has downgraded CTG DUTY-FREE's target price from HKD89 to HKD77, maintaining an Equalweight rating. The firm reduced its EPS forecasts for 2026-2027 by 6-7% and revenue forecasts by 13% due to slower-than-expected Hainan duty-free sales. Full-year growth expectations have been lowered from 25-30% to 20-30%. The company is also adjusting its duty-free shops at Shanghai and Beijing airports, with completion expected between Q2 and Q3 2026, and is integrating online platforms, which may pose sales risks during the transition.
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