By Christine Ji
Oracle's fourth-quarter earnings call will deliver critical updates about the progress of its data-center build-out and the financial impact of its AI pivot
Oracle's earnings call on Wednesday will be headed by new CFO Hilary Maxson.
Shares of Oracle have surged 42% since the company's previous earnings call in March. Can the software giant and hyperscaler keep the momentum as it reports fiscal fourth-quarter results on Wednesday?
That will depend on Oracle's (ORCL) artificial-intelligence progress, capital expenditure levels and margins, analysts say. Wednesday's earnings call will also mark the first appearance by new CFO Hilary Maxson, who was appointed in April.
According to a Monday note from Jefferies analyst Brent Thill, key fourth-quarter numbers for Oracle will be 90% growth in Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, a 43% operating margin and around $36 billion in incremental net remaining performance obligations.
Wall Street analysts polled by FactSet are expecting $19.1 billion in sales and $1.96 in earnings per share for the May quarter. Remaining performance obligations, or signed contracts not yet converted to revenue, are expected to be $601.1 billion.
Wall Street anticipates Oracle's operating margins to compress by about 3 percentage points as the company's business mix shifts toward OCI, a more capital-intensive part of the business. But, Thill said, the impact may not be as severe as the consensus models, due to cost efficiencies and workforce reductions.
In March, reports suggested that Oracle was conducting mass layoffs. While the company did not comment on the matter, TD Cowen analyst Derrick Wood estimated that between 10,000 and 15,000 employees, or 6% to 9% of the workforce, were affected.
Read: Oracle's stock rises as company reportedly begins thousands of job cuts
Oracle's shares have surged higher in recent weeks on the back of &#34;strong investor appetite to be long compute names,&#34; Wood wrote. In April, Oracle expanded its partnership with Bloom Energy (BE) to secure up to 2.8 gigawatts of fuel-cell capacity for its AI initiatives. And last week, Oracle co-CEO Clay Magouyrk shared that construction of Stargate, Oracle's joint venture with OpenAI, is on schedule.
Wood sees a &#34;favorable setup&#34; for Oracle ,given that its capacity of graphics processing units is increasing and operating expenses are coming down. The added GPU capacity could help fuel an OCI acceleration, he noted, while reiterating his buy rating and raising his price target to $300 from $250.
More: Oracle's stock rises as AI demand spurs an earnings milestone not seen in 15 years
BNP Paribas analyst Stefan Slowinski wrote in a note last week that he expects Oracle to continue to lean in to its Bring Your Own Chip model that it introduced last quarter. To mitigate heavy capital expenditures, Oracle will let customers use their own hardware in its data centers.
However, Slowinski believes capital expenditures could continue increasing going forward as Oracle ramps up various Stargate facilities in the second half of 2026 and early 2027.
-Christine Ji
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06-09-26 0722ET

Oracle reports after the close on Jun 10 (ET) — Jun 11 morning HK time. Armed with massive AI contracts from OpenAI and xAI, the legacy database giant is doubling down on its bid to become the go-to AI compute landlord. Can it win over the market this time?

Oracle reports after the close on Jun 10 (ET) — Jun 11 morning HK time. Armed with massive AI contracts from OpenAI and xAI, the legacy database giant is doubling down on its bid to become the go-to AI compute landlord. Can it win over the market this time?

Oracle Earnings Ahead: All-In on 'AI Compute Landlord' Play

Oracle reports FY26 Q4 after the US close on June 10. The Street expects about USD 19.1B in revenue, up roughly 20% YoY, with all eyes on cloud. OCI infrastructure surged 84% last quarter and the backlog (RPO) has piled up to around USD 553B, up over 300% YoY, driven by AI contracts. The real question: can Oracle turn that backlog into revenue, build capacity fast enough, and do it without crushing margins? Are you betting on a beat or a miss?

Oracle reports FY26 Q4 after the US close on June 10. The Street expects about USD 19.1B in revenue, up roughly 20% YoY, with all eyes on cloud. OCI infrastructure surged 84% last quarter and the backlog (RPO) has piled up to around USD 553B, up over 300% YoY, driven by AI contracts. The real question: can Oracle turn that backlog into revenue, build capacity fast enough, and do it without crushing margins? Are you betting on a beat or a miss?

Oracle Q4: USD 553B Backlog At Stake!

ORCL

ORCX

Oracle's stock has surged 42% on AI hype ahead of its Q4 earnings call, where new CFO Hilary Maxson will debut. Analysts expect strong OCI growth and $19.1B in sales, though operating margins may compress due to capital-intensive investments. Key focus areas include data-center build-out progress, Stargate joint venture updates, and cost efficiencies from recent workforce reductions.

Oracle's stock has surged on AI hype. Now it has to deliver the earnings to match.