Weekly Recap | Invesco QQQ Trust +0.23%, closing in on record highs

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QQQ.US gained 0.23% this week, closing at $751.27 versus the prior week’s close of $749.58. The S&P 500 rose 1.15% over the same period, leaving QQQ.US about 0.92 percentage points behind. Price action was a push higher followed by a pullback: Monday (Oct 5) opened at $749.35 and climbed to $756.20, Tuesday hit the week’s high of $762.86, then the ETF faded to $743.23 on Thursday before settling at $751.27 on Friday.

The Week

QQQ.US gained 0.23% this week, closing at $751.27 versus the prior week’s close of $749.58. The S&P 500 rose 1.15% over the same period, leaving QQQ.US about 0.92 percentage points behind. Price action was a push higher followed by a pullback: Monday (Oct 5) opened at $749.35 and climbed to $756.20, Tuesday hit the week’s high of $762.86, then the ETF faded to $743.23 on Thursday before settling at $751.27 on Friday.

NASDAQ-100 This Week

The underlying NASDAQ-100 added 0.24% this week, finishing at 30,883.148 versus 30,807.931 a week earlier. The index hit a high of 31,361.369 on Tuesday (Oct 6) and a low of 30,556.396 on Thursday (Oct 8), a choppy week that ended only marginally in the green.

Leverage & Decay

This product aims to replicate 1x the daily move of the NASDAQ-100, not 1x the weekly move. The server-side calculation shows the underlying rose 0.24% this week, with a theoretical value of about +0.24% versus an actual +0.23%, a gap of -0.01 percentage point. That gap comes from daily rebalancing: the drag is small in one-directional stretches but compounds when the index whipsaws back and forth. Holding over longer periods is not a linear 1x return.

NASDAQ-100 News

The week’s news flow centred on Fed hike expectations and market swings. After the Nasdaq opened near record highs on Monday (Oct 5), futures slipped. On Tuesday (Oct 6) the NASDAQ-100 reached a record as yields and oil prices eased, though breadth was narrow—55 constituents still sat below their 50-day average. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq extended records on Wednesday (Oct 7), with power stocks rallying on Google’s nuclear deal. Thursday (Oct 8) brought the Fed’s September minutes with signals for more hikes, sending oil and Treasury yields higher and pulling indices off records. Friday (Oct 9) saw yields and oil retreat, tech turned higher, and Nasdaq futures climbed more than 100 points.

The Week Ahead

The key event is the US CPI and core CPI report on Wednesday, Oct 14. Markets are sensitive to the Fed’s next move, so this inflation print could reshape rate expectations. Earlier in the week, on Tuesday, Oct 13, the NFIB small business optimism index and existing home sales data offer supplementary reads on economic momentum.

In Short

QQQ.US edged up 0.23% and lagged the S&P 500 by about 0.92 percentage points, though it closed not far from the week’s high. On valuation, the PB is 2.81x, while the PE is negative due to the earnings base. In the latest session, large and medium orders were net sellers while small orders were net buyers, a split in direction and intensity. The market is caught between Fed hike expectations and swings in oil and yields; the next decisive input is next week’s CPI and how tech reprices rate expectations.

This article is generated by LongbridgeAI from market data, for information only and not investment advice.

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