修行的小沙弥

The future of technology is the vast universe, but for now I can't take much, the big shares are left for the faithful teachers, I'll just do something simple$Newmont(NEM.US)$SPDR Gold Shares(GLD.US)

2025 年投资总结-- AI 贯穿始终今年的投资核心路线就是围绕着 AI 在投，从半导体、AI 大模型到 AI 应用，正股 +longcall 策略再一次得到验证和进化。整体收益还行，能够稳住 top1% 就行 1、懂王的关税战给的黄金坑 4 月份懂王开始关税战，反复无常，都是大国博弈手段，造成市场恐慌😱，懂王操纵市场就是一句话的事，砸出来一个黄金坑...

Many things have happened this year, some happy, some disappointing, some touching, some regrettable; but no matter what, our most important thing is still that original intention: gratitude. Not seeking to satisfy everyone, but seeking to be worthy of one's own conscience. 2025 is almost in the past, but this year I have indeed gained a lot. Of course, the biggest gains often come from the market; this is also why I am so obsessed with trading. Investment trading may not necessarily make your wallet thicker, but it will definitely enrich your life experience. 1. Better to be a true villain than a hypocrite. Adding flowers to brocade is the act of a villain; offering help in times of need is the act of a gentleman...

My options position building logic:

The core logic of only buying long calls is that it preserves the ability to react to subsequent market movements without being overly anxious about short-term negative impacts.

During a sharp decline, start building long call positions in batches;

After a significant market rally, start taking profits in batches.

Additionally, only choose companies you are familiar with.

Slow is fast, remember not to be greedy.

First of all, I need to clarify that I am far from what is called 'success,' let alone qualified to share any experience. Writing these words is merely a periodic review of my investment journey over the past few years. Since everyone likes to hear stories, I think my somewhat surreal experience might provide some after-dinner conversation. Let me explain my ID '今日も阮愛妻です'—I'm someone who believes in metaphysics, and I always feel that my financial luck ultimately stems from my wife. We met in 2020 while studying in Japan, and before that, I was just someone living off my parents' allowance...

I have been involved in the stock market longer than most of my peers, starting from 2007 and now in my 18th year. From the initial stumbling like everyone else to now being able to stand on my own and achieve stable profits, the four key factors are—patience, risk management, discipline, and following the market trends. The U.S. stock market is the most well-developed stock market in terms of trading mechanisms globally, with diverse trading options. However, those who lose money often outnumber those who make profits; the 80-20 rule always holds true. Especially during the Trump era, market volatility brought more anxiety and uncertainty. You need to believe in your strategy and always remain patient...

Copying trades without copying positions or logic, only copying the buying action, is a path to ruin in the long run.

Warren Buffett kept buying $Occidental Petroleum(OXY.US) near the position shown in the chart. Over a year later, it has been halved at its worst and is still suffering huge losses. However, this hasn’t affected $Berkshire Hathaway B(BRK.B.US), which has been rising steadily, because Occidental Petroleum is just a "miscellaneous" trade for him, with an extremely small position.

But for copycats, things might not be so good, especially since the media keeps promoting "Buffett’s big buys" and "Buffett’s xth largest holding."

Investing recklessly without doing your own research—if you can still make money consistently, does that make sense? 🤔

Laziness in investing is unacceptable. If you’re truly lazy, dollar-cost averaging into an ETF like $SPDR S&P 500(SPY.US) is the only way out. But it seems those who don’t research investments look down on the modest gains of index funds?

🚀📈Tech stocks rebounded strongly, but remember: A rebound is not a signal, position sizing is the bottom line.

Yesterday's sharp decline and today's rebound are typical characteristics of a volatile market:

Prices fluctuate significantly, but the trend direction remains unclear.

Many tech stocks experienced deep pullbacks before rebounding, including:

1/ $Meta Platforms(META.US): -25%

2/ $Robinhood(HOOD.US): -30%

3/ $Nebius(NBIS.US): -41%

4/ $Adobe(ADBE.US): -42%

5/ $Oracle(ORCL.US): -43%

6/ $Rigetti Computing(RGTI.US): -59%

7/ $Coreweave(CRWV.US): -62%

8/ $Duolingo(DUOL.US): -68%

9/ $Figma(FIG.US): -76%

10/ $BitMine Immersion Tech(BMNR.US): -84%

These declines show that even with a strong short-term rebound, the overall market is still in a recovery phase.

1️⃣ A rebound is not a "full position signal"

Volatile markets are most likely to trigger impulsive behavior.

A big green candle often creates the illusion

that "the opportunity has come,"

but the real bottom usually doesn’t appear in the form of an emotional rebound.

2️⃣ The safest strategy: Build positions gradually, not all at once

Before the trend becomes clear, the safest approach is:

• Divide funds into multiple tranches

• Spread them across different price ranges

• Gradually increase positions, not impulsively trade short-term

This avoids the risk of chasing highs and allows for further accumulation at better prices.

Volatile markets don’t reward emotional decisions—only planning and patience.

Is your current strategy more about waiting for confirmation or choosing to build positions gradually?

🎯Continuously track structural changes in tech stocks, institutional accumulation patterns, and potential reversal signals to provide a more robust reference for the next move.

#Stocks #Investing #Market #NASDAQ #Tech

$Meta Platforms(META.US) $Robinhood(HOOD.US) $Nebius(NBIS.US) $Adobe(ADBE.US) $Oracle(ORCL.US) $Rigetti Computing(RGTI.US) $Coreweave(CRWV.US) $Duolingo(DUOL.US) $Figma(FIG.US) $BitMine Immersion Tech(BMNR.US)

Investment is about making decisions on the balance between price and value. Even a good company needs a good price at this level. Brother Cai would never buy Tencent$TENCENT(00700.HK) at over 600 yuan. This is not a denial of the company; on the contrary, it is the highest recognition of Tencent: it is so good that it doesn't need to prove itself by chasing highs, so good that we must measure its price with the strictest ruler. Brother Cai's investment framework is simple, just three principles: first, pursue an almost risk-free annualized return of over 15% under the condition of an ultra-high moat (core targets)...

In Graham's "The Intelligent Investor," it is suggested that investors limit their stock investments to between 25% and 75% of their funds and take countermeasures based on market trends. I didn't take it seriously a few months ago—since I entered the stock market, of course, the goal is to make money. Keeping money idle means it won't appreciate. If the author believes the stock market will rise in the long term, why not go all in for potentially higher returns? Could the author be mistaken? Book knowledge alone feels shallow. After this period, especially under the guidance of 'Google Sensei,' I've come to understand a bit. After all, Graham is a master; of course, he knows that money in the stock market appreciates...

Support, in this regard, younger brother thinks there are two people who cannot be bypassed. One is @韭菜输栋楼, and the other is @Value & Investment; these two can be said to be outstanding figures🤔 The former uses open strategies supplemented by clever tactics, truly the cream of the crop among naive investors, while the latter simplifies complexity, unifies knowledge and action, embodying the spirit of contemporary Yangming.

These two individuals essentially encompass the majority of righteous investors.

This point resonates with left-side traders like me: no one can predict the trend, and no one knows where the bottom is. So when a stock you want to buy crashes, especially irrationally, it's the perfect time to "catch the falling knife"!

Waiting to buy after the bottom reversal isn't actually a cautious approach—it comes with a huge "opportunity cost"!

$Unitedhealth(UNH.US) is a great example of this view 😄