相信概率

Simons is not human... he's a monster... If he had started trading stocks earlier and lived longer, he would have been the world's richest man... How can such a monster exist... even more monstrous than Druckenmiller

Microsoft, stop pretending, quickly hit 600, then 650, then 800+.

Based on the first-quarter earnings data, it is highly likely that the Nasdaq will break the 30,000-point mark this year.

The chance to double your money this year is right in front of us, with plenty of cheap chips available, and the golden pit is about to appear again.

Buy $50,000 worth of TQQQ now, and in 20 years, there's a 100% chance your net worth will exceed ten million, and a 90% chance it will exceed a hundred million! A highly probable event! There were never any stock gods in this world, just probabilistic events!

Will the crisis definitely come to an end? The answer is yes. What are Trump's goals? Interest rate cuts, lowering inflation, a strong dollar, and the return of manufacturing. Is there any army on Earth that can stand against the U.S. military? The answer is no. If oil is really that scarce, why don't countries release their strategic petroleum reserves into the market? Hold on tight, this is a super-long-cycle rally; ignore all the noise along the way!

What are you worried about with Microsoft 426 tonight? At this price and valuation, the probability of losing this year is very low! The probability of losing in the future is close to 0! In my opinion, Microsoft is still the leader among the 6 giants today!

Bitcoin and Ethereum seem to be reversing a bit, with interest rate cuts and global M2 accelerating, there's no reason not to rise... It doesn't make sense!

Taking Japan as a mirror, this book is about Japan, but what I see is Dongda. It's 90% similar, and with the recent economic data and the decline in long-term government bond yields, it's almost certain that Dongda will face another 15-25 years of great depression. It suddenly occurred to me that if ordinary people can't make a living abroad, investing in U.S. stocks is the only way to escape this 30-year great depression. Don't leave a single penny idle—invest all available funds in U.S. stocks. This might be the most important and successful decision in most people's lives! God bless America, God bless Dongda!

Given enough time, no one on Earth can outperform QQQ. If there is, it might be TQQQ. Since no one can outperform QQQ, where does the difference in investing in U.S. stocks lie? The difference lies in how you make decisions during a sharp decline—whether to liquidate, add positions, hold steady, or even leverage up.

The Nobel Prize in Physics was awarded to the creators of Google's quantum computer. If I remember correctly, it should be the second consecutive year to win the Nobel Prize, with 3 winners...

Looking at the chart, it's unlikely that OpenAI can overtake Google. The growth rate of OpenAI is not very surprising either.