NewUser_oPJWOU

NewUser_oPJWOU

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NewUser_oPJWOU

AMD and Broadcom are rallying from the Nvidia's slip, but in my opinion, though the change in leadership is worrying, core business remains relatively in tact for now so I anticipate a stronger recovery by the end of the year. Of course, any other news can cause another big swing again.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Jensen Huang Resigns as Nvidia CEO

Jensen Huang resigned as $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) CEO, and the stock closed down 4% while $AMD(AMD.US) rallied. At home, Singtel's core profit rose 10% and DBS trades ex-dividend. Let's dig in 👇💬 Nvidia witho...

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NewUser_oPJWOU

$NU Holdings(NU.US)

Context: For Nu, the framework leans heavily on what the balance sheet and forecast earnings indicate about that surplus. Book value is estimated at $2.74 per share and is projected to move toward a stable $4.20 per share, while stable earnings are modeled at $1.30 per share based on future Return on Equity estimates from 13 analysts. Against a cost of equity of $0.46 per share, the Excess Returns output suggests Nu Holdings could earn about $0.84 per share in surplus returns, supported by an average Return on Equity of 30.88%. The record Q3 2026 net income and expansion into Nu US and Nu Global accounts help explain why the Excess Returns valuation currently sits meaningfully above the $11.83 share price.

My Trade: Maintaining the same policy for Nu - small swing trades to bring down my cost while holding the rest for long term.

Takeaway: Nu's relatively strong quarter continues to prove why it is worth to buy and hold especially at current prices where it is technically undervalued. Though the swings in share price would not be as large as anticipated, I believe this can be a good compounder. @Captain's Treasure

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NewUser_oPJWOU

Memory sector is slowly recovering again along with majority of the tech companies, with Nvidia being the obvious loser as Jensen steps down as CEO. With earnings coming up next week, I expect more volatility

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Nvidia Sinks After Hours on Report Board May Oust CEO

$NVIDIA(NVDA.US) closed +2.87% but sank after hours on a report its board may oust its CEO. Chips ripped, with $Micron Tech(MU.US) up 12%. At home, SIA paid a special dividend. Let's dig in 👇💬 Nvidia:...

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NewUser_oPJWOU

$AMD(AMD.US)

Context: Nvidia shares fell 8% in trading $159.68, while AMD rose 3.87% to $574.29 and Broadcom rose 5% to $364. The moves point to a rotation within the chip sector. AMD sells its Instinct line of graphics processors, the most direct competitor to Nvidia’s data center products, and Broadcom designs custom AI accelerators for major cloud customers and supplies networking chips used across large data centers. AMD and Broadcom could benefit from growing expectations that they may move more rapidly to win customers if uncertainty at Nvidia persists.

My Trade: Glad to have grabbed the dip in AMD and is now happily back up on paper. Will continue to hold for now with all that's going on at Nvidia.

Takeaway: Rotation into AMD is surging and this could be great for mid to long term. Diversifying your assets is never a bad thing. @Captain's Treasure

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NewUser_oPJWOU

Reits are falling back as hot CPI prints signals for another rate hike in December. Genuinely indifferent to these fluctuations for Reits already, as they are mainly for dividend passive income and long term returns.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Sea Beats on Revenue, Misses on Profit

$Sea(SE.US) beat on revenue but missed on profit, closing -1.49%. A hot CPI revived Fed hike bets, and $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) fell another 5%. At home, the STI is inching higher. Let's dig in 👇💬 Sea's 43% s...

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NewUser_oPJWOU

$NU Holdings(NU.US)

Context: Nu Holdings is trading at $12.03 while the most followed narrative pegs fair value at $22.74, so the gap between price and thesis is wide and very explicit. The long-term vision, which CEO David Vélez refers to as the company’s “Act III,” is built around three pillars: deepening monetization in Brazil through high-margin products such as mortgages, private banking, and SME services in order to increase ARPAC from $16 to above $25; replicating the model in Mexico and Colombia until full profitability is reached; and preparing for expansion into the United States by leveraging the know-how accumulated across Latin America. At the same time, the planned investment of 45 billion Brazilian reais during 2026 (approximately $8.2 billion) signals an aggressive reinvestment commitment in AI, infrastructure, and segment expansion.

My Trade: Been looking for swing trades to lower my cost for the long term. Anything close to $11 is a good entry in my opinion.

Takeaway: I am excited to see how Nu performs as it announces earnings on Thursday after bell. Long term policy shift in Brazil could be an obstacle that they will have to address shareholders. @Captain's Treasure

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NewUser_oPJWOU

Markets seem to slide back a little after a bigger relief rally yesterday. Short term weakness and volatility is still evident and overall share prices are still at a discount compared to a few months back.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — AMD Soars as Nvidia Sinks

Chip stocks roared back as AMD jumped 13%, but Nvidia slid to a seven-month low as its board probes CEO Jensen Huang. At home, the STI rebounds after Monday's holiday, with Sea reporting tonight. Let'...

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NewUser_oPJWOU

$Sea(SE.US)

Context: Sea Ltd. on Tuesday reported higher profit in its third quarter with increased revenues. Further, the firm said its board of directors on Monday approved an additional $1.0 billion to its share repurchase authorization, without expiration. In the previous $1 billion program, the company so far has repurchased 11.1 million shares for an aggregate amount of $997.2 million. In its third quarter, the company's net earnings totalled $502.46 million, 34 percent higher than $374.99 million last year. Earnings per share grew 32.2 percent to $0.78 from prior year's $0.59. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 28.9 percent year-on-year to reach $931.3 million with strong growth in all segments. Shopee Adjusted EBITDA1 was US$269.2 million, up 44.7 percent year-on-year. The company's revenue for the period rose 43.4 percent to $8.582 billion from $5.986 billion last year. Shopee revenue was $6.1 billion, up 41.3 percent year-on-year. Gross orders totaled 4.5 billion for the quarter, increasing by 25.5 percent year-on-year.

My Trade: Was actually aiming for nearer to $70 as it fell briefly during pre-marker but now the stock is up. Is ok, I will be patient.

Takeaway: Shopee's revenue increase is actually heartening, especially with intent competition from TikTok Shop in the past year as well. @Captain's Treasure

2025.10.10 ~ 2026.11.09 All orders
Cumulative P/L7.03 (USD)+1%
2025.10.102026.11.09
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NewUser_oPJWOU

The SG market is closed today so there's not much indicator on how our local stocks are going to perform following last Friday's US slight recovery. My guess for tomorrow would be sideways

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Hike Bets Rise as Nvidia Probes Its CEO

US hiring came in at more than double forecasts, lifting bets on a December Fed hike. Over the weekend, Nvidia's board opened a probe involving CEO Jensen Huang, and its shares slip in overnight tradi...

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NewUser_oPJWOU

$Sea(SE.US)

Context: E-commerce and gaming company Sea will be announcing earnings results tomorrow before market hours. Sea beat analysts’ revenue expectations last quarter, reporting revenues of $7.74 billion, up 44.5% year on year. It was a very strong quarter for the company, with a solid beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates and solid growth in its users. It reported 68.1 million users, up 10.2% year on year. This quarter, the market is expecting Sea’s revenue to grow 31.4% year on year, slowing from the 40.7% increase it recorded in the same quarter last year. Looking at Sea’s peers in the online marketplace segment, some have already reported their Q3 results, giving us a hint as to what we can expect. EverQuote delivered year-on-year revenue growth of 25.4%, beating analysts’ expectations by 7.6%, and Etsy reported revenues up 10.9%, topping estimates by 3.8%. EverQuote traded up 19.9% following the results while Etsy was also up 4.5%.

My Trade: I will be looking closely at how Sea performs after exiting the trade a few months back. If it confirms a long term stronger growth, I'll be enticed.

Takeaway: Will the retail and e-commerce stocks rally slightly amidst a strong rotation out of AI and semiconductor stocks? That is what I will be monitoring. @Captain's Treasure

2025.10.10 ~ 2026.11.06 All orders
Cumulative P/L7.03 (USD)+1%
2025.10.102026.11.06
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NewUser_oPJWOU

I think investing into almost anything now would be value-for-money as the steep broader sell off gives opportunities to buyers to enter at a lower price. Personally think it's a great time to invest in tech stocks, which were way more overpriced previously, at a discount rate too good to be true.

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Captain's Compass
🎁[Reward] Democratic Sweep: How Are Assets Repricing?

Democrats swept both chambers in the Nov 3 midterms, securing at least 54 Senate seats (up from 47) and regaining a House majority (from 214 seats before the vote, with dozens still undecided).A Democ...

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NewUser_oPJWOU

$AMD(AMD.US)

Context: AI and data center-linked stocks tumbled Thursday as Democrats’ sweeping midterm victory fueled concerns about potential hurdles to the industry’s rapid expansion. Multiple experts warned that some U.S. data center capacity scheduled to come online in 2028 could be at risk from construction pauses. Citi Research added to the anxiety when it flagged an "exponential" new threat to data centers as it tracked increasing pauses and cancellations on construction. Other headwinds piled on. China’s delay in approving imports of Nvidia’s H200 chips and a soft profit outlook from Qualcomm added pressure, while the Nasdaq fell 5.5%. CNN’s Fear & Greed Index dropped to a reading of 20, in the "Extreme Fear" zone, versus a prior reading of 34.

My Trade: Didn't expect the drop to be so deep and the fear to be so widespread so I entered a day too early. Despite that, I'm looking for strong reversal momentum to take profit afterwards.

Takeaway: Today's rebound is sort of expected as short sellers start to cover their positions. I'm not surprised if more slides continue next week before the prices stabilise. @Captain's Treasure

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NewUser_oPJWOU

$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US)

Context: Nvidia and Taiwan Semiconductor are two primary beneficiaries of the artificial intelligence boom driving the semiconductor industry. Nvidia dominates the graphics processing unit and inference markets while expanding into physical artificial intelligence applications. Taiwan Semiconductor maintains a 73% market share as a leading third-party chip manufacturer serving multiple major customers. The good part about TSMC is that it manufactures chips for multiple customers, including Apple, Sony, MediaTek, Broadcom, Marvell, and others. TSMC's broad customer base allows it to serve multiple AI-focused end markets, including smartphones, personal computers, robots, and data centers. So, TSMC seems better-positioned to capitalize on the semiconductor industry's long-term growth, which will be primarily fueled by AI. TSMC and Nvidia are closely matched on the valuation front as well. Also, we have seen that both companies are projected to achieve nearly identical earnings growth over the long run. So, investors can consider buying either of these semiconductor stocks to capitalize on the AI infrastructure boom. Both companies dominate their respective niches in chip designing and manufacturing, which is why they are likely to grow at solid rates in the long run.

My Trade: The temporary steep pullback is painful paper losses even for investors. However, I think this is great for long term accumulation.

Takeaway: Moreover, TSMC and Nvidia are attractively valued despite their healthy growth rates. The overall selling is overdone in my opinion. @Captain's Treasure

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NewUser_oPJWOU

$AMD(AMD.US)

Context: AMD reported third-quarter revenue of $13.38 billion, beating analyst estimates of $13.09 billion. The chipmaker reported adjusted earnings of $2.09 per share for the quarter, beating estimates of $1.95 per share. "We delivered a record quarter with revenue exceeding the high end of our guidance as Data Center segment sales nearly doubled year-over-year," said Dr. Lisa Su, AMD chair and CEO. "Demand for our Instinct and EPYC products continued to strengthen, and we expect growth to accelerate further in the fourth quarter as we scale Helios and ‘Venice’ production." AMD expects fourth-quarter revenue of approximately $17 billion, plus or minus 3%, versus estimates of $16.23 billion. Fourth-quarter adjusted gross margin is expected to be approximately 55%, versus 56% in the third quarter.

My Trade: Sold AMD a long time back and sort of regretted it as it rose tremendously afterwards. Now waiting for it to fall back before buying again.

Takeaway: AMD is still poised to be one of, if not the strongest performing stock in its sector. One to watch for the next 3 years. @Captain's Treasure

2026.01.02 ~ 2026.11.03 All orders
Cumulative P/L4.66 (USD)+2%
2026.01.022026.11.03
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NewUser_oPJWOU

Apple and Palantir beat their respective earnings, but the shares are still sliding which is not a huge surprise. Volatility remains high right before midterms results are out, while the overall weakness in tech sector remains the key for now.

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Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Apple Beats, but Memory Costs Bite

Apple beat forecasts but slid after hours as rising memory costs squeeze its margins, while chipmakers fell for a third straight day. At home, the STI is sliding again as the banks lead losses, though...

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NewUser_oPJWOU

$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US)

Context: Palantir Technologies reported better-than-expected financial results for the third quarter and raised its full-year revenue guidance. Palantir posted third-quarter revenue of $2.31 billion, beating analyst estimates of $2.18 billion. The AI software company reported adjusted earnings of 44 cents per share for the quarter, beating estimates of 41 cents per share. "The Sovereign AI movement is imposing the most dramatic dichotomy between haves and have-nots that I have witnessed in 30 years of business. Every institution — government and commercial — is rapidly being forced, voluntarily or not, into one of these two categories," said Alex Karp, co-founder and CEO of Palantir. Palantir expects fourth-quarter revenue to be in the range of $2.649 billion to $2.653 billion, versus estimates of $2.46 billion. The company raised its full-year 2026 revenue guidance from a range of $8.15 billion to $8.16 billion to a new range of $8.53 billion to $8.534 billion versus estimates of $8.20 billion.

My Trade: No hurry to buy the dip because I know how much more it could potentially drop. I'll monitor and see.

Takeaway: Part of the reason for the dip is also due to the reevaluation of tech shares following the recent widespread fear that AI is going to slow down. Moreover, US midterm results are also going to be out tomorrow so the volatility remains high for now. @Captain's Treasure

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NewUser_oPJWOU

SG banks fell by as much as 2% to 3% today as lower expected wealth management fees could lower banks' profits in the upcoming months. However, I personally think the drop is an overreaction

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Captain's Watch
☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Apple Reclaims Top Spot Before Earnings Tonight

Chipmakers crashed on Friday, led by Intel's record drop, but a smaller fall lifted Apple past Nvidia as the world's most valuable company before its results tonight. At home, the STI is sliding this ...