melph

melph

AssetsTop 3%ReturnsTop 7%
9Following9Followers85Likes & Bookmarks
M
melph

$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US) beat again and U.S. commercial revenue topped government for the first time, which shows AI adoption is spreading beyond defense. Yet shares dipped after hours because at about 165 times earnings, even a strong beat and raised guidance leave little room for error.

C
Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Apple Beats, but Memory Costs Bite

Apple beat forecasts but slid after hours as rising memory costs squeeze its margins, while chipmakers fell for a third straight day. At home, the STI is sliding again as the banks lead losses, though...

M
melph

$iShares Semiconductor ETF(SOXX.US)

Context

The iShares Semiconductor ETF holds US listed chip companies. Chip stocks sold off last week after Intel's weak outlook raised doubts about chip demand and the ETF is now well below its recent high.

My trade

I traded small lots in and out, then added another after the pullback.

Takeaway

This is still a trade more than a long term holding since many of its companies look overvalued to me. Small size keeps the drop manageable.

2026.08.03 ~ 2026.11.02 All orders
Cumulative P/L-33.04 (USD)-2%
2026.08.032026.11.02
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards!
M
melph

$AMD(AMD.US) fell nearly 11% on Friday after Intel's weak PC outlook hit chip stocks, just days after a Meta partnership lifted it. I think the selloff is more about PC demand than AI so Tuesday's earnings matter especially data center growth. That should be the number to watch?

C
Captain's Watch
☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Apple Reclaims Top Spot Before Earnings Tonight

Chipmakers crashed on Friday, led by Intel's record drop, but a smaller fall lifted Apple past Nvidia as the world's most valuable company before its results tonight. At home, the STI is sliding this ...

M
melph

$Amazon(AMZN.US)

Context

Amazon is a mix of online retail, advertising and its cloud business AWS, with AWS and AI spending the main focus for investors. Its latest earnings slightly missed expectations on profit and revenue even though AWS growth was its fastest in nearly five years and profit margins hit a record and the shares fell sharply after hours.

My trade

I bought in a few small lots over about three weeks in mid 2025 while the price was dipping. The position is in the green though well below the high from earlier this year.

Takeaway

Spreading small buys across a dip worked out reasonably and I am holding for the long term while I watch whether AWS growth keeps up with the heavy AI spending.

2025.06.16 ~ 2026.10.29 All orders
Cumulative P/L104.07 (USD)+12%
2025.06.162026.10.29
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards!
M
melph

$Microsoft(MSFT.US) had the cleaner quarter with Azure up 48% and stronger guidance, while Alphabet's search and YouTube ads missed. $Alphabet(GOOGL.US) is still the faster growth bet because Google Cloud more than doubled and its backlog is huge.

C
Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Alphabet Slides After Earnings as Microsoft Gains

Alphabet's cloud revenue doubled, yet its free cash flow turned negative and the stock slid after hours, while Microsoft rose on faster Azure growth. The Fed held, with two votes for a hike. Let's dig...

M
melph

$Microsoft(MSFT.US)

Context

Microsoft is one of the largest tech companies in the world with its cloud business Azure, business software and a major role in AI. The stock dropped sharply earlier this year on worries about AI spending, then rebounded strongly to new highs. Its latest earnings beat expectations on both profit and revenue, driven by faster Azure growth and the shares rose after hours.

My trade

I bought in two lots, the second after the price had fallen further. Both are in the green now and the second lot has done especially well.

Takeaway

Adding to a quality business when the price is weak paid off here but after such a big rebound I think the easy gains are likely behind it.

2026.01.07 ~ 2026.10.28 All orders
Cumulative P/L942.35 (USD)+41%
2026.01.072026.10.28
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards!
M
melph
Featured

$NetLink NBN Tr(CJLU.SG)

Context

NetLink NBN Trust owns the fibre network that connects homes across Singapore which gives it steady and fairly predictable cash flows and regular distributions. That makes it a defensive holding that doesn't rely on a booming economy.

My trade

I bought in three lots for the dividends, starting last year and adding more in recent months. The stock has traded lower recently so my latest buys are sitting close to the current price and the position is only slightly in the green.

Takeaway

Building the position in stages leaves room to act on weakness so I may add more if the price keeps falling, as long as the distribution still looks sustainable.

2025.07.04 ~ 2026.10.27 All orders
Cumulative P/L7.85 (SGD)+1%
2025.07.042026.10.27
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards!
M
melph

Chip stocks rallied on Monday after Anthropic filed for its IPO, and $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) shares rose about 1.7%, helped by $Meta Platforms(META.US)'s plan to raise up to USD 95 billion to fund its AI build out. Investors are reading the filing as a sign that AI demand is still growing and Nvidia supplies the chips behind most of it. That is good news for chip demand but it doesn't yet prove that AI spenders are earning enough to justify it since Anthropic itself reported a large net loss for the first half of 2026 so I am watching big tech earnings and the Fed's rate path this week before reading too much into one day.

C
Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Nvidia and Chips Rally as Anthropic Files for Its IPO

Every stock in the Philadelphia chip index rose as Anthropic filed for its IPO, and Tesla jumped on a SpaceX merger bet. At home, the banks slipped. Let's dig in 👇💬 Anthropic's filing lifted every chi...

M
melph

$Accenture(ACN.US)

Context

Accenture is a global IT services and consulting company and its shares fell sharply over the past year as investors worried about demand for its services and the threat of AI. It then recovered a large part of that fall.

My trade

I bought a small position in August 2025 and held through the steep drop without adding because I wasn't sure about the AI risk. After the rebound, I sold near my buy price and finished roughly flat, still unsure how much AI could disrupt its business.

Takeaway

Holding through the fall avoided locking in a big loss and not adding while I was unsure kept the risk small. I think it's better to wait for more clarity on AI's impact than to buy or hold on hope.

2025.07.07 ~ 2026.10.26 All orders
Cumulative P/L0.27 (USD)0%
2025.07.072026.10.26
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards!
M
melph

I am watching $Amazon(AMZN.US) Amazon's results this week, mainly its cloud business AWS. It has grown faster for five quarters in a row so slower growth would be a warning sign. Sales may look weak because Prime Day moved earlier and with huge AI spending, investors want proof it pays off.

C
Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Micron Rebounds as Huang Dismisses Glut Fears

Micron bounced Friday as Jensen Huang played down fears of a memory glut, with the Fed and Big Tech earnings ahead. At home, REITs held their gains. Let's dig in 👇💬 Memory makers report this week. Is ...

M
melph

Considering whether to buy $Tencent HK SDR 10to1(HTCD.SG). Tencent's slide to a 52 week low looks less like a broken business and more like the market repricing AI spending. At about 13 times earnings it's cheap, and some brokers still see upside, but others, like Morgan Stanley, have cut targets, so buying now means accepting that the downtrend may continue before it turns.

C
Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Western Digital Beats, Chip Stocks Crumble

Western Digital grew revenue 55% and raised its dividend, then fell 6%. Lam Research beat and fell twice as hard. At home, banks slip while REITs bounce. Let's dig in 👇💬 Chip stocks are selling off on...

M
melph

The market rewarded $Meta Platforms(META.US) for spending more and punished $Tesla(TSLA.US) for spending less, and I think that comes down to proof. Meta's revenue grew 26% to a record 64.6 billion USD and its shares rose after hours even as it lifted its capex forecast to as much as 145 billion USD, so investors can see the ad business paying for the AI push. Tesla beat on earnings but its shares reversed after it cut its 2026 capex forecast to about 20 billion USD from over 25 billion, and they were down almost 5% before the open on Thursday. A spending cut at a company priced on robots and autonomy raises doubts about those ambitions, especially with the stock trading at roughly 195 times a simple earnings run rate. My takeaway is that heavy spending is forgiven when revenue backs it up, while a valuation built on future promises has little room for any sign of retreat.

C
Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — Tesla Cuts Capex, Meta Raises It

Tesla and Meta reported the same night and made opposite calls on AI spending. One cut its budget, the other raised it. At home, banks are easing back after Wednesday's gains. Let's dig in 👇💬 Tesla cu...

M
melph

The STI opened higher today helped by a Wall Street rally and easing oil prices. I see it as a small bounce and not a turning point. The index is still well below the level it held at the end of September and the recent weakness seems to come from worries about AI spending hitting tech stocks, high US bond yields and tensions in the Middle East, not from any problem with Singapore companies themselves. Since the index is heavily weighted towards the local banks, I think its direction in the coming weeks will depend a lot on interest rates and on how the upcoming earnings turn out, so I'm staying patient and not reading too much into one morning's move.

C
Captain's Watch
Featured☕️ [Task Coins Giveaway] Daily Market Talk — SpaceX Turns a Profit and Opens Tesla Merger Talks

SpaceX made money for the first time, and immediately put a Tesla merger on the table. At home, the STI is up and the banks are leading. Let's dig in 👇💬 Would a SpaceX-Tesla merger be a good deal for ...

M
melph

$iShares Semiconductor ETF(SOXX.US)

Context

The iShares Semiconductor ETF holds a basket of US listed chip companies, including designers and equipment makers, so it gives broad exposure to the semiconductor cycle. The price has swung a lot in recent months, which suits short term trading.

My trade

I bought a small amount, quickly sold it for a gain a couple of days later, and bought again after the price pulled back. This is more of a trade than a long term holding, since many of the companies in the ETF look overvalued to me.

Takeaway

Keeping the size small and taking profits on the swings makes more sense here than holding for the long run, given how stretched valuations look.

2026.08.03 ~ 2026.10.15 All orders
Cumulative P/L23.90 (USD)+5%
2026.08.032026.10.15
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards!
M
melph

$Boustead(F9D.SG)

Context

Boustead Singapore is a Singapore listed company with businesses in energy engineering, real estate solutions, geospatial and healthcare. It has a strong balance sheet with cash well above its debt and pays dividends, though its earnings are lumpy because much of the work is project based. The price dropped sharply recently.

My trade

I started a small position after the drop. I first bought with dividends in mind, but the ordinary dividend turned out to be lower than I wanted. The price has fallen further since, so it's a small paper loss for now.

Takeaway

Starting small leaves room to add a little more if the price keeps falling, and special dividends are a bonus but not something to count on.

2026.09.11 ~ 2026.10.14 All orders
Cumulative P/L-18.21 (SGD)-4%
2026.09.112026.10.14
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards!
M
melph

$CapitaLandInvest(9CI.SG)

Context

CapitaLand Investment is a Singapore listed real estate investment manager that runs funds and REITs across several countries and pays dividends. It earns recurring fees from managing other people's property assets, which needs less capital than owning everything itself, though its earnings still depend on property markets and fundraising conditions. Its price slid steadily over the past month, which put it on my watchlist.

My trade

I started a small position after the pullback, both for the dividends and because I felt the price had dropped quite far. It's a fresh position so it's too early to say how it will turn out.

Takeaway

Starting with a small amount lets me add more if the price keeps falling and I will watch how the price and dividend develop from here.

2026.09.11 ~ 2026.10.13 All orders
Cumulative P/L0%
2026.09.112026.10.13
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards!
M
melph

$OCBC Bank(O39.SG)

Context

OCBC is another of Singapore's three local banks and a reliable dividend payer. I started building a position in mid 2025 mainly for the dividends before the price climbed to its highs.

My trade

I bought in two lots over about ten days rather than trying to time the perfect entry. The position is still in the green even after the recent pullback from the peak.

Takeaway

I'm happy to keep collecting the dividends, and I may add more if the price continues to fall, though I think OCBC is much more overvalued than UOB even after the pullback, so I'll be more cautious about buying here.

2025.05.13 ~ 2026.10.12 All orders
Cumulative P/L2860.59 (SGD)+76%
2025.05.132026.10.12
Trade Showcase: Trade, Show & Earn Rewards!