股市江湖故事会

$S&P 500(.SPX.US)Next week is a very critical one, and it will determine the trend of the entire market next month.

$Tesla(TSLA.US) Everyone is betting on being bullish about Tesla's Optimus and Robotaxi; earnings are actually not that important‼️

$Tesla(TSLA.US)$Sandisk(SNDK.US)$Meta Platforms(META.US) Next, we need to focus on: 1. The Fed meeting determining the trend, 2. Inflation data setting expectations, 3. GDP data indicating the economic direction, 4. Earnings season driving sector rotation, 5. AI conferences as short-term sentiment catalysts, and also the CPI on the 10th and the PCE on the 30th.

$Sandisk(SNDK.US)For GooG, around 300 is a good level to add to the position. CRCL and SNDK are the stocks that made the most money this year. Crcl50 has pulled back to 120, and CRCL's trend suggests it could reach around 150. So pullbacks are opportunities to slowly build or add to positions. If SNDK breaks through 660 tomorrow, it could see 680-685. ORCL can be bought when it pulls back to around 150, with a trend target of 240-250 this year.

$Sandisk(SNDK.US) SanDisk is about to hit 660 again 👏👏👏

$S&P 500(.SPX.US) Given the current situation, the market outlook for next week remains bearish. On Monday, we'll watch the 6700 level first; if it can't hold, it may revisit the previous low of 6540-6530. The probability of the market reaching 6030-6060 this month is very high. This is my personal analysis. Feel free to share your different views and suggestions in the comments section for discussion. 🤝🤝🤝

Today I set up sell put positions for NVDA at 170-175, targeting a short-term horizon of a few weeks. There will be options expiring every week. If I get assigned the shares, I'll hold them until the system alerts me to sell at this year's high. The overall market is roughly in line with my expectations; after NVDA's earnings report, the market began to pull back. The support level for this pullback remains around 6720. If it breaks below, we'll be in trouble. If it holds, we should still oscillate up to 7030 by the end of March. It's the first day of my vacation, couldn't help but say a bit more. I'm still holding 45 percent cash, waiting for the storm next week. There are many short positions; if there's a short squeeze, everyone should take profits and cash out, keeping funds focused on indices, energy stocks, and reliable large caps. Happy trading.$SPDR S&P 500(SPY.US)$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)

$BTC/USD(BTCUSD.HAS) BTC level analysis

Resistance above at 68500–69000, strong resistance zone around 71000. Support below at 66000, key support at 60000. If the rebound fails to break 69000, a decline is still expected 📉. A break below 66000 will accelerate the downward move. Only a high-volume consolidation above 71000 would indicate a structural shift to a stronger upward trend.

Personal opinion for reference only. Investing carries risks, trade with caution.

$iShares Expanded Tech Software Sector ETF(IGV.US) I opened a starter position in IGV today. This software index has already fallen 36% from its high, from 117 to 77. It has also fallen to the 76 support level here. In the long term, I still believe that Msft, PLTR, orcl, Crm, crwd, now, and intu won't go bankrupt. If it doesn't break below here, there will still be a big rebound. I still strongly believe these companies won't easily go under. So everyone can also buy some of this kind of index. You can choose to open a position between 70-77, and then exit around 85-90 for the long term.

The night market was very volatile today, mainly due to panic about next week's market, as well as many speeches scheduled for next week. Additionally, Nvidia's earnings report will directly impact the entire AI tech stock sector.

$S&P 500(.SPX.US) Q4 GDP fell short of expectations, while the December PCE price index rose 3%, meeting expectations, and the overall PCE price index rose 2.9%, exceeding expectations. I believe the S&P will test the support level around 6835 again today. I plan to close some of my earlier short positions in software stocks, including options, around this level. Today, everyone can pay more attention to the movements of stablecoin concept stocks. According to analysis, there is a 70% probability that banks and the crypto circle can reach an agreement.

Iran has sent a letter to the UN Secretary-General and the UN Security Council, stating that it does not seek tension or war, nor will it initiate conflict, but pointed out that Donald Trump's related remarks indicate a "real risk of military aggression." Iran emphasized that if subjected to a military strike, it will respond, and all bases, facilities, and assets of "hostile forces" in the region could become targets.

$Alphabet(GOOGL.US)$Circle(CRCL.US)GOOG has recently rebounded from 296 to 305, which can be seen as a sign of a bottom forming. Today, I also slowly added to my position a bit. ORCL at 135 has also reached a major support level that has held for several months, making the price a good entry opportunity, with signs of a bottom also appearing earlier. Everyone can also slowly add to their positions. I'm definitely bullish on CRCL in the long term, and it shouldn't be a problem for it to return above 200 this year.

$S&P 500(.SPX.US) The short-term range for the broader market can be seen at 6795-7020. If you're trading options, you can refer to this range. Fig can be seen around 30, and if it falls back to around 23, you can add to your position.

Personal suggestion for reference only.

$S&P 500(.SPX.US) The 6935 level on the broader market remains a resistance point. Everyone should act within their means and not be too greedy; you can choose to exit with profits. The market is still in a volatile phase today, and a trend reversal has not been confirmed yet. Therefore, it's still advisable to cash out on short-term gains and patiently wait for the U.S.-Iran geopolitical situation.

$Tesla(TSLA.US) A personal view on TSLA

$Tesla (TSLA.US)

First Trend Structure:

The long-term descending trendline above is clear. A stop-loss signal has appeared near the previous low below. The current price is rebounding from the lower rail of the channel, which is an oversold recovery.

Second Short-term Focus:

1. The first resistance is near the mid-rail of the channel. There is a high probability of divergence or pullback here.

2. The strong resistance zone ahead is also the consolidation and accumulation zone.

If the rebound reaches here, it's easy to encounter selling pressure.

3. The key demarcation is holding above the descending trendline, which would signal a structural strengthening and a possible phase reversal.

If it gets pushed back down again, the trend continues, and it remains a rebound in a bear market.

Third Indicator Status:

MACD has a golden cross at a low level, indicating rebound momentum exists.

RSI is still in a neutral-to-weak zone; the trend hasn't truly strengthened yet.

Fourth Trading Idea: From a structural perspective, it currently looks more like

a rebound within a downtrend, a bear market rally.

Focus on two points:

Only consider a trend change after breaking the descending trendline.

If the rebound meets resistance and falls back, the bearish structure continues.

Trend unchanged, watch resistance levels during the rebound. If the trendline isn't broken, it's a rebound recovery.$Tesla(TSLA.US)

$S&P 500(.SPX.US) market forecast

$S&P 500(.SPX.US) If the market can close above 6880 and stabilize today, then it can touch 7000 again, but 6990 is also a resistance level. If it closes below 6880 today, then it's estimated that volatility will continue this week. 6775 is still the support level for this week, and 6725 is also a strong support. Wishing: everyone a Happy New Year and happy trading$SPDR S&P 500(SPY.US)

$S&P 500(.SPX.US)$SPDR S&P 500(SPY.US)Although the stock market rebounded today, the overall trend is still downward, so at today's rebound highs, you can sell calls on individual stocks to hedge at profitable prices. Let's see if it can stabilize and close above 6870 today to determine next week's trend. I've already traded in and out of crypto stocks multiple times today, like MSTR and COIN, so I've completed my money-making task. The stock market is closed next Monday, have a great weekend everyone.$SPDR S&P 500(SPY.US)

$Gold(IN00380.US)【Gold and Silver Experience Sharp Volatility, Market Cuts Fed Rate Cut Bets】Jin10 Futures, February 12th - During yesterday's session, London gold once rose above $5,100 per ounce, then plummeted sharply, briefly turning negative. Silver, which had surged nearly 7% earlier, also retreated. As of yesterday's close, London gold rose 1.19%, and London silver rose 4.2%. In terms of news, the non-farm payroll data exceeded expectations, leading the market to lower its expectations for Fed rate cuts.

1. On the evening of February 11th, Beijing time, data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that non-farm payrolls increased by 130,000 in January, significantly higher than market expectations, marking the largest increase since April 2025; the unemployment rate unexpectedly fell slightly to 4.3%.

2. Analysts believe that the acceleration in U.S. non-farm payroll growth in January, with the addition of 130,000 jobs far exceeding expectations and the unemployment rate falling to 4.3%, is a signal of stabilization in the labor market. This may give the Fed room to keep interest rates unchanged for a period while monitoring inflation.

3. Brad Smith, portfolio manager at Janus Henderson Investors, said: "This data provides strong evidence of robust economic growth, an improving labor market, and wage growth supporting consumer spending. The Fed will take this data into account when deciding whether to keep interest rates unchanged next month. Given its 'wait-and-see, data-dependent' stance, this undoubtedly increases the likelihood of maintaining rates." (This content and views are for reference only and do not constitute any investment advice.)

$BTC/USD(BTCUSD.HAS)Seize the opportunity to go short for a quick trade. The New Year is coming soon. Let's finish this and have a beautiful New Year. Wishing everyone good luck! 👍

$Sandisk(SNDK.US)Both SNDK and MU have fallen 25-30% from their highs.. Friends who have shorted them should have started making money or breaking even. I've said before that timing a short needs to be very precise; it's a sneaky business. But when my system evaluates a stock that's way above its intrinsic value, it's bound to come down. SNDK was 730 last week, now 550; MU was 456, now 370.

$Oracle(ORCL.US) I mentioned yesterday that the market trend this week is good, and we need to seize the last wave of rebound in 2025. I wonder how many friends have entered the market and added positions👏👏👏

The overall market trend for next week is still quite good, which can be considered the last wave of market activity in 2025. Everyone must seize this year-end opportunity to earn their own New Year's red envelope🧧.

$BTC/USD(BTCUSD.HAS)The overall trend for Bitcoin remains unchanged, continue to be bearish. The resistance level above is at 7.3-7.4. This is still a fake rally to lure in buyers. This breakdown correction could go down to the fifty-thousands, then continue to search for the bottom. 🤝🤝🤝

$Tesla(TSLA.US) is really something the institutions know how to play. They've been dumping it hard for days and then pulled it up on Friday to harvest profits.👍 So don't be too greedy, everyone. Secure your profits in time and exit. Wishing you all happy trading!🤝🤝🤝